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12-18-96
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12-18-96
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��1'1 <br /> impress at 3.0%,down 0.1 percentage <br /> point from second quarter 1994. The <br /> annual absorption was barely negative <br /> with an annual absorption rate of -0.1°/a, <br /> or negative 272 sq.ft. <br /> As the State's fastest-growing <br /> county, Washington County is ripe for <br /> development. State Farm Insurance is <br /> - - <br /> constructing a new headquarters in <br /> Woodbury,and several large commercial <br /> lots are available with office zoning. :The dramatic change in this market <br /> was the 15.6% rise in the average quoted <br /> net rent to$9.44 psf. After experiencing <br /> a 10.2% drop in real estate taxes the year <br /> prior,property taxes ticked up slightly to <br /> r <br /> $1.91 psf. Total expenses rose 3.4% to <br /> $5.84 psf. <br /> ♦ TOLD Development's proposed office project in the Southwest Sector <br /> proposals to work up to market rates. Minneagaso site, the Conservatory, the <br /> MARKET Then, many upgraded tenants (who Ritz block, the Powers site and <br /> OUTLOOK moved up to Class A from Class B) will Metropolitan Centre Phase II. In the <br /> be forced back to Class B or take"as is" Southwest Sector, TOLD Development <br /> With the tightest office market ever Class A space with a less aggressive Company recently announced plans for <br /> reported by the Towle Report,we do not owner. As building values climb, real a two-phase, two-office building devel- <br /> expect absorption to continue at the estate taxes will rise, increasing tenants' opment. And in the West Sector, MEPC <br /> rates we saw in 1993 and 1994. However, operating expenses. continues to pre-lease its proposed <br /> the office market recovery will continue, On the subject of new office devel- 235,000 sq.ft.office tower. <br /> fed by continued job growth; rising opment, several points must be evaluat- The return of lenders to the real <br /> rental rates; no new space under ed even though many real estate estate market is also fueling the <br /> construction; and availability of capital observers feel the metro area is construc- construction talk. This talk gives rise to <br /> (debt and equity). tion-ready today.First,as long as compa- a debate over what to expect, build-to <br /> Tenants should plan ahead for nies see the value of buying versus build- suit for a single tenant or multi-tenant <br /> further market tightening as the market ing, we may not see new development office buildings? <br /> rebounds. Landlords want to keep big right away in the office market.A strong Whatever the result, few in the <br /> blocks of space available for larger indicator to look for is when companies industry are concerned about a repeat of <br /> tenants and expanding companies. stop buying. the disastrous 1980's cycle of 100% <br /> Small-tenant leases are likely a be Next, a building can't be started speculative office development. The <br /> renewed on a short term basis, or have until the pre-Leasing is at a rental rate Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area's office <br /> relocation clauses. Therefore, tenants that will support new construction. Net market has rebounded and is expected to <br /> need to be flexible and plan advance rents will have to be in the$17-$18 range remain healthy in the coming year. <br /> in suburban Class A, and $19-$20 in <br /> of their lease renewals. They may also downtown Class A.Though we're seeing <br /> consider alternate plans of going increases, as witnessed by the dramatic <br /> outside the Minneapolis CBD, <br /> Southwest and West suburbs. As space rise during the last 18-month period, it becomes more scarce and expensive in could take one to two years in the <br /> Southwest and West sectors and two to <br /> downtown Minneapolis and the suburbs, <br /> for example, St. Paul may benefit. three years in downtown Minneapolis. <br /> Thus, it appears a new office build- <br /> Another solution is to turn toward the in will be feasible in about a three year <br /> reuse of retail or entertainment space for g y <br /> period. This coincides with the amount <br /> office use. of time it would take to secure new <br /> Tenants must also be prepared for leases, design and build the structure. <br /> rising rents and operating expenses, <br /> especially as their leases with rock- Therefore we should hear an announce- <br /> ment this year about plans to build a new <br /> bottom rents expire. In most situations, Class A office tower.Possible downtown <br /> tenants will find stepped-rent-renewal development locations include the • <br />
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