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City of Arden Hills – 2030 Comprehensive Plan
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<br />Approved: September 28, 2009
<br />7-5
<br />While group quarters housing is calculated separately from traditional housing, it is
<br />important to recognize this type of housing can impact the City’s sewer, water,
<br />transportation, parks, and recreation systems differently than traditional types of
<br />housing. It is likely that the number of people living in group quarters at Bethel
<br />University, Presbyterian homes, and other group homes will increase as those facilities
<br />do have additional land to expand. Therefore, it is important for the City to work with
<br />these institutions to manage the potential impacts as well as promote a diversity of
<br />housing.
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<br />7.3 HOUSEHOLD FORECASTS
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<br />The total number of households in Arden Hills is forecasted to increase by over 55
<br />percent between 2010 and 2040.
<br />Table 7.2 - Household Forecasts by City
<br />2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 % Change
<br />2000-2010
<br />% Change
<br />2010-2040
<br />Arden Hills 2,959 2,957 3,750 4,600 4,600 -0.07% 55.56%
<br />Mounds View 5,018 4,954 5,100 5,200 5,500 -1.28% 11.02%
<br />New Brighton 9,013 8,915 9,800 10,600 11,200 -1.09% 25.63%
<br />Roseville 14,598 14,632 15,100 15,600 17,000 0.23% 16.18%
<br />Shoreview 10,125 10,402 10,800 11,200 11,300 2.74% 8.63%
<br />Ramsey County 201,236 202,691 223,920 238,260 248,550 0.72% 22.63%
<br />Twin Cities 7 County 1,021,456 1,117,749 1,259,450 1,390,990 1,510,090 9.43% 35.10%
<br />Source: Metropolitan Council
<br />The rate of forecasted household growth in Arden Hills surpasses all adjacent
<br />communities as well as Ramsey County. In establishing its forecasts, the Metropolitan
<br />Council is assuming full development of the buildable portion of the TCAAP property by
<br />2030 which will also represent essentially a full build-out of Arden Hills.
<br />Table 7.3 - People per Household
<br />2010 2020 2030 2040
<br />Arden Hills 3.23 3.04 2.89 2.93
<br />Mounds View 2.45 2.43 2.40 2.38
<br />New Brighton 2.41 2.35 2.32 2.32
<br />Roseville 2.30 2.32 2.30 2.28
<br />Shoreview 2.41 2.43 2.43 2.43
<br />Ramsey County 2.51 2.44 2.41 2.40
<br />Twin Cities 7 County 2.55 2.48 2.44 2.43
<br />Source: Metropolitan Council
<br />The significantly higher people per household in Arden Hills is misleading because the
<br />people living in group quarters housing is included in the total population, but the group
<br />quarters housing structures does not add to the number of households in the City.
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