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City Council – Arden Hills February 13, 2018 Page 3 P:\Planning\Comprehensive Plan\2018 Comprehensive Plan\City Council Meetings\CC Packet (02-20-18)\WSB Memo 02132018.docx • The former City Hall property on Highway 96 is change from Neighborhood Business to Medium Density Residential. • The Bremer Bank site is changed from Light Industrial to Mixed Business. • The B-4 zoned properties along Dunlap St are changed from Mixed Business to Light Industrial. • The former Lake Johanna Fire Station is changed from Public & Institutional to Very Low Density Residential. The other changes to the Land Use Chapter are predominately adding the B-4 properties, Neighborhood Business, Gateway Business, and the employment versus consumer recommendations from the Commercial, Industrial, and Higher Education study. These issues are discussed on page 6-9 through 6-11. Technical Element The Potable Water, Sanitary Sewer, Surface Water Management Plan, and Transportation plans are provided within the draft 2040 Comprehensive Plan. These elements are listed as Appendixes and would be separately produced and maintained by the engineering department after the adoption of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan. TCAAP AUAR and the Metropolitan Council Forecasts The TCAAP Final AUAR and Final Mitigation Plan was approved in July 2014 and the Amendment to the Arden Hills Comprehensive Plan to include the land use changes within the TCAAP AUAR was approved by the Metropolitan Council in October 2015. The Metropolitan Council approval letter dated November 6, 2015 stated as a result of the TCAAP Comprehensive Plan Amendment, the 2040 household forecast for Arden Hills increased from 4,500 to 4,600 households. No increases were made to the 2020 or 2030 forecasts. Within the Appendix C of the Transportation Plan, an evaluation is made of the of the forecasted growth over the 18 different transportation analysis zones (TAZ) of Arden Hills. 13 of the TAZ districts are completely within Arden Hills and five (5) of the TAZ districts are shared between Arden Hills and an adjacent community. TCAAP occupies three (3) of these TAZ districts. Table C-1 shows the Metropolitan Council transportation models that distributes the Metropolitan Council forecasts throughout the 18 different TAZs. Table C-2 shows the traffic generation from the minimum development scenario of the TCAAP AUAR within the TCAAP TAZs (TAZs 1700, 1708, and 1709) and the Metropolitan Council regional transportation model in the remaining 15 TAZs. The difference between the TCAAP AUAR minimum development scenario would generate an additional 332 households and an additional 5,623 employees in 2040. City staff has reviewed these differences and does not believe that any forecast amendment needs to be requested from the Metropolitan Council due to the TCAAP AUAR TAZ analysis. An AUAR is intended to determine an appropriate level of infrastructure and mitigation investment to accommodate the anticipated development. The AUAR has been used to determine the recent improvements to Mn Hwy 96 and Cty Rd H. The City has updated the TCAAP Redevelopment Code (TRC) in 2016 that has been more detailed than the AUAR and that Comprehensive Plan Amendment was reviewed and approved by the Metropolitan Council in February 2017 without an increase to the 2040 forecasts.