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02-25-19-R
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Ramsey County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2018 <br /> <br />Page | 86 <br /> <br />Extreme Heat History in Ramsey County <br />July is the hottest month on average in St. Paul, with an average high of 83° F. The highest temperature <br />ever recorded there occurred in 1988, when it rose to 105° F (Intellicast, 2018). <br />According to the NCEI, in July of 2015, several observations across Ramsey County measured heat <br />indices over 105° F for two days in a row. The highest heat index value was 116° F. <br />Heat indices of 105° F occurred in August of 2013, during the Minnesota State Fair. 216 people required <br />treatment due to heat-related illnesses. 10 people required transport to local hospitals. Minneapolis <br />schools also cancelled outdoor athletic practices during this period of extreme heat. <br />The following is taken from the 2018 Report: Planning for Climate & Health Impacts in Metro <br />Minnesota: Emergency Management Considerations for HSEM Region 6 (MDH, 2018): <br />Minneapolis experienced its most humid day on record and tied the all-time record for a heat <br />index (119 degrees) during the Extreme Heat Wave of 2011. The magnitude and persistence of <br />high dew point temperatures and heat index values led meteorologists to label the event a <br />“humidity storm”. In the metro area, temperatures soared both day and night – two days hit a <br />maximum 100 degrees and 12 more reached 90 degrees, while a record of 80 degrees was set <br />for nighttime lows. Due to the urban heat island effect, temperatures in the metro region are <br />often higher compared to less urban surrounding areas, usually an average of 2 degrees higher. <br />However, during heat waves this temperature difference can spike to as much as 9 degrees. <br />Ultraviolet (UV) monitoring showed dangerously elevated levels of radiation during the heat <br />wave, which can lead to acute and chronic effects on the skin, eyes, and immune system, <br />including skin cancer and cataracts. The average UV index for July 2011 (9.7) was the highest for <br />any July since 1994. The UV index for days during peak heat intensity were above 10, a level <br />associated with a very high risk of serious health effects. <br />Extreme Heat and Climate Change <br />Minnesota’s average temperature has increased more than 1.5°F since recordkeeping began in 1895, <br />with increased warming happening in recent decades (International Climate Adaptation Team, 2013). <br />Annual temperatures in the Midwest have generally been well above the 1901-1960 average since the <br />late 1990s, with the decade of the 2000s being the warmest on record (Kunkel, et al., 2013). Seven of <br />Minnesota’s 10 warmest years occurred in the last 15 years. Projected increases are 2° F to 6° F more <br />by 2050 and 5° F to 10° F by 2100 (MN Environmental Quality Board, 2014). The Midwest has <br />experienced major heat waves and their frequency has increased over the last 6 decades (Perera, et al., <br />2012). For the U.S., mortality increases 4% during heat waves compared with non-heat wave days <br />(Anderson & Bell, 2011). Heat stress is projected to increase because of climbing summer temperatures <br />and humidity (Schoof, 2012). On July 19, 2011, Moorhead Minnesota set a new state record for the <br />hottest heat index ever, at 134° F. That same day, Moorhead also recorded a new state record for the <br />highest dew point at 88. It was the hottest, most humid spot on the planet that day (Douglas, 2011). <br />Statistics from NOAA show that there are more human fatalities each year due to heat waves than from <br />floods, lightning, tornadoes and winter storms. Many cities have responded by creating Heat Wave <br />Response Plans to ensure that those in marginal health without air conditioning can obtain the relief and
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