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The original monthly numbers showed a decline of 1,882,000 for the year as a whole. Compare this with <br /> the numbers as they are currently presented, showing a decline of 2,974,000. The difference between the <br /> two is a huge 1,092,000. Moreover, the likelihood is that there are probably still some further downward <br /> *revisions to come for late 2008. And further, realize that the monthly seasonal adjustment factors are of- <br /> ten substantially revised, which can make the originally published data even more misleading. <br /> Despite these problems, notice that on some of the business TV shows, within 15 seconds of when the <br /> numbers are released, so-called economists are asked to "bloviate"on what their thoughts are about the <br /> numbers. No wonder, economists as a group have a bad reputation, and for some, it is richly deserved: <br /> Employment and Unemployment 2008-2009- <br /> --2008-- <br /> Employment(000) Labor Unemployment Hours Earnings <br /> Mfg Constr Svcs Other Total force Number Rate worked Hourly Weekly <br /> Jan - 33 - 34 - 10 + 5 - 72 153.9m 7.56m 4.91% 33.7 $17.77 $598.85 <br /> Feb - 52 - 44 -50 + 2 -144 153.5 7.42 4.83 33.8 17.83 602.65 <br /> Mar - 49 - 44 -35 + 6 -122 153.9 7.82 5.08 33.8 17.90 605.02 <br /> IQ -134 -122 - 95 +13 -338 153.8 7.60 4.94 33.7 17.83 602.17 <br /> Apr - 57 - 64 - 39 0 -160 153.9 7.68 4.99 33.8 17.94 606.37 <br /> May - 30 - 44 - 70 + 7 -137 154.5 8.54 5.52 33.7 17.99 606.26 <br /> Jun - 51 - 61 - 56 + 7 -161 154.4 8.66 5.61 33.6 18.04 606.14 <br /> 2Q -138 -169 - 165 +14 -458 154.3 8.29 5.37 33.7 17.99 606.26 <br /> Jul - 51 - 31 - 53 + 7 -128 154.5 8.91 5.77 33.6 18.10 608.16 <br /> Aug - 67 - 24 - 94 +10 -175 154.8 9.55 6.17 33.7 18.18 612.67 <br /> Sep - 65 - 46 -217 + 7 -321 154.6 9.59 6.20 33.6 18.21 611.86 <br /> 4„Q -183 -101 -364 +24 -624 154.6 9.35 6.05 33.6 18.16 610.90 <br /> Oct -119 - 65 -196 0 -380 154.9 10.22 6.60 33.5 18.28 612.38 <br /> Nov -121 -127 -348 - 1 -597 154.6 10.48 6.78 33.4 18.34 612.56 <br /> Dec -162 - 86 -327 - 2 -577 154.4 11.11 7.20 33.3 18.41 613.05 <br /> 4Q -402 -278 -871 - 3 -1,554 154.6 10.60 6.86 33.4 18.34 612.66 <br /> Total -857 -670 -1,495 +48 -2,974 <br /> -2009- <br /> Jan -207 -111 -279 - 1 -598 153.7 11.62 7.56 33.3 18.46 614.72 <br /> In the Economic Report of the President, there is a table called "Bond Yields and Interest Rates, 1929- <br /> 2008." The following shows the major portions of that table starting with 1979. We have presented the <br /> data by comparing the yields on the 10-year Treasury (constant maturity) with yields on Aaa Corporate <br /> Bonds, Baa corporate bonds, high-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor index), and new home mort- <br /> gage rates. <br /> We took this approach for several reasons - many people either were not in the markets as far back <br /> as three decades and many are likely to be surprised by the rate levels and yield differentials against 10- <br /> year Treasuries; and there is nothing in this three-decade period that comes close to the current yield dif- <br /> ferential over 10-year Treasuries, especially in the latter part of 2008. <br /> Of particular notice in this regard is the huge interest rate differential between the 10-year Treasury <br /> Iltnd Baa corporate bonds and the 10-year Treasury and high-grade municipal bonds. In the latter case, <br /> ote that through much of the last three decades municipals had lower yields than Treasuries, while at <br /> present,the opposite is the story: <br />