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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The report shall explain the total investment return and compare the return and compare <br />the rcturn with budgetary expectations. <br /> <br />The total return for 1999 was $742,563 on an average portfolio balance (including cash <br />equivalents) of $13,256,498, which equates to an average yield of 5.58% for the year. This <br />compares favorably to 1999 interest income expectations in the range of 4.5% to 5.0%. The 1999 <br />yield also compares closely to the benchmark 1999 average rate for a two year U.S. Treasury <br />note of 5.43%. <br /> <br />1999 interest income of$742,563 resulted in a $288,363 positive deviation (63.5%) against <br />budget. The primary reasons for this performance were slightly higher than expected yields and a <br />larger than expected portfolio balance arising from construction start delays for the City Hall <br />facility construction project and public improvements in the Gateway area (West Round Lake <br />Road, Phase II) not proceeding in 1999. <br /> <br />The rcport shall contain a discussion ofthe outlook for interest rates and the economic <br />trend for the upcoming year investment strategies to he implemented, and budgetary <br />expectations for investment incomc. <br /> <br />The general outlook for interest rates in 2000 is for them to be higher than average 1999 levels. <br />Many economists believe the United States economy will be negatively impacted by inflationary <br />concerns caused by a tight labor market, higher energy costs, and Federal Reserve actions. There <br />is also some market discontinuity (i.e., an inverted yield curve) resulting from the question if the <br />thirty-year Treasury Long Bond will remain the pricing benchmark. By year-end 2000, we may <br />be seeing the yield curve for all maturities less than the December 1999 higher yield trend. The <br />estimated annualized rate of return for 2000 should be in the range of 5.0% to 5.5%. <br /> <br />2000 interest was budgeted at $548,300 on an expected average portfolio balance of $10,950,000 <br />with an expected yield of5.00%. <br /> <br />Attached Schedules <br /> <br />Attached are related schedules for your further review: <br /> <br />I. Investment Portfolio Analysis, December 31, 1999 <br />2. Annualized Investment Portfolio Return, 1999 <br />3. Investment Ladder, Note and Zero Maturities by Year, 2000-2004. <br /> <br />This report will be discussed with the Operations and Finance Committee at their March, 2000 <br />meeting. I herewith submit this ailllual report to the City Council pursuant to the annual <br />reporting requirement of the Investment Policy. <br /> <br />~ Ii :Jb <br /> <br />T eITance R. Post <br />City Treasurer <br />(Enclosures) <br />