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<br />. <br /> <br />Demographics Advisory Committee Report <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />2001-2002 Demographics Advisory Committee <br />Report <br /> <br />Executive Summary <br /> <br />This report about the demographics of the Roseville Area School District 623 was <br />commissioned by the Superintendent of Schools for the purpose of gathering data to <br />assist in making decisions about the future direction ofthe district. In addition to this <br />report, two other reports; a Facilities Advisory Committee Report, and a Fiscal Advisory <br />Committee Report have been developed. <br /> <br />Demographics drive the enrollment of the School District. Finances are based upon <br />enrollment. Enrollment and decisions about delivery of instruction determine facilities. <br />Because of this interdependent relationship between demographics, finance and facilities, <br />it is very important to have accurate demographic projections. <br /> <br />The Demographics Advisory Committee developed three, five and ten year enrollment <br />projections for the district. These projections were presented to the Finance and Facility <br />Committees in February 2002. <br /> <br />. Recommendations from the Demographics Advisory Committee revolve around two <br />areas: <br /> <br />1) providing accurate projections for the district on an annual basis <br /> <br />2) encouraging more families with school- age children to live in the Roseville <br />School District and attend the Roseville Area Schools. <br /> <br />Providing More Accurate Projections: <br />Student enrollment projections are used to plan for staffing, classroom assignment, and <br />revenue for the district. The projections are an integral tool for district planning and <br />budgeting. These projections are made using a statistical model. This model is based <br />upon a cohort survival method taking into consideration actual enrollment by grade, a <br />survival rate between grades, and a projected number for the incoming Kindergarten <br />cohort. <br /> <br />Our committee based the Kindergarten projection on figures received from John <br />Carpenter President of Ex census (a local demographics consulting firm), who works with <br />many census sources for his data. The data provided by Excensus shows a stable <br />Kindergarten enrollment for the next ten years. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Recommendation: <br />a. Aggressively track the 0-4 year-old age group census through targeted census <br />methods. <br /> <br />May 1, 2002 <br />