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06-20-07 FPAC Minutes
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06-20-07 FPAC Minutes
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06-20-07 Minutes
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6/20/2007
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• Maximum maturity and weighted average maturity limits relate directly to an entity's statute and policy <br /> constraints,investment objectives and cash flow projections. Although setting maximum maturity <br /> constraints may help limit the market risk in a portfolio, it is not generally considered to be the most <br /> effective way for managing market risk and understanding the potential price volatility of either an <br /> individual security or an entire portfolio. <br /> A widely used measure of market risk in the investment industry is modified duration. Durations can be <br /> obtained from professional market resources such as Bloomberg. For governments without access to <br /> these resources,broker-dealers may send documentation of the durations. Duration is more <br /> comprehensive and accurate in measuring market risk than the maturity of a security for two important <br /> reasons. First, duration takes into consideration all cash flows(interest and principal payments)of a <br /> fixed-income security using their present values. Maturity as a market risk measure only considers the <br /> principal payment of a security using its future value. <br /> Second,modified duration is a multiplier that measures the approximate percentage change in the value <br /> of a security or portfolio given a 1% (100 basis points)move in interest rates. For example,if a security <br /> has a modified duration of 1.74 and interest rates rose by 50 basis points,the security would experience <br /> approximately a-0.87%change in value. <br /> Formula and calculation: <br /> (basis points change in yield <br /> %change in market value=(-1)*x(modified duration)x <br /> 100 <br /> -0.87%_(-1)x(1.74)x( 100 ) <br /> * multiplied by -1 because of inverse relationship between price and interest rates <br /> With this type of price volatility analysis, a government investor can determine more accurately the <br /> amount of market risk in a security or portfolio. <br /> Weighted average maturity and weighted average duration in a portfolio are calculated using the <br /> maturity and duration values of all the securities in a portfolio. Weighted average maturity allows a <br /> government to verify compliance with investment constraints since most investment policies and state <br /> statutes have maximum weighted average maturity limitations. Weighted average duration is considered <br /> industry wide as an acceptable measure of market risk in a portfolio. As such,it can provide the <br /> government investor with valuable information for managing the market risk in a portfolio. <br /> The Governmental Accounting Standards Board(GASB)in GASB Statement No. 40 requires a <br /> disclosure of all risks associated with a government entity's portfolio, including market risk. Weighted <br /> average maturity and weighted average duration are two of five accepted methods for disclosing a <br /> portfolio's market risk. (A description of the other three is beyond the scope of this Recommended <br /> Practice.) In accordance with the GASB fair market value reporting requirements in GASB Statement <br /> No. 31, a government entity's portfolio could show unrealized losses or gains for any reporting period. <br /> Recommendation. The Government Finance Officers Association(GFOA)makes the following <br /> specific recommendations to government investors with respect to managing market risk in their <br /> operating portfolios: <br /> II/ <br />
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