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Project BanjoTraffic Study Regional Analysis AddendumApril 22, 2022 Page 8 TRAFFIC FORECASTS Traffic forecasts were developed for year 2025 and 2040conditions, which represents one (1) year after openingas well as a long-term regional transportation assessment. Theforecasts include information regarding area roadway changes, assumed adjacent developments,general background growth, and trip generation from the proposed development. Forecasts were developed for both no build and build conditions, with the build condition including theProject Banjo development. Roadway Changes st Fairview Street is plannedto be extended to 21Avenue in 2022. Given the minimal activity along st 21Avenueand the redundant Commerce Drive connection, there is not expected to be a noticeable change in area travel patterns once Fairview Street is completed (assuming no other development). Localized rerouting of existing traffic was completed to reflect this new roadway connection. st 21Avenue is expected to be extended to connect with Cedar Streetby 2025. A preliminary review of th the existing traffic volumes at the 20Avenue and Cedar Street intersection, as well as the amount of residential development in the area, indicates that approximately 500vehicles per day from the thst adjacent residential neighborhood may divert away from 20Avenue to 21Avenue if this extension st were implemented. Traffic volumesassociated with the 21 Avenue extension were rerouted accordingly and incorporated into the future condition operations analyses. Adjacent Developments Based on discussions with project staff, severaladjacent developments were identified that have been approved or are expected to be constructedby year 2025. Remaining area developmentswere assumed to be fully developed by year 2040 conditions, therefore representing a full-build out conditionof thestudy area. The purpose of looking at these conditions is to help understand future infrastructure needs and timing to helpagencies plan for and implementappropriate improvements to support the area as it develops over time. A summary of the adjacent development and transportation network assumptions areillustrated in Figure 4, including the corresponding directional distribution for various land use types.Using these agreed upon assumptions, trip generationestimates were developed for both year 2025 and 2040 th conditions using the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 11Edition. A summary of the total adjacent development trip generation by year is provided inTable 4; detailed adjacent development trip generation estimates are provided in the Appendix. Note that these estimates do not include any multi-use, modal, or pass-by reductions to provide a conservative analysis. Table 4 Adjacent Development Trip Generation Summary Peak Hour Scenario * Condition AM MiddayPM Daily InOutInOutInOut 2025 Adjacent Development Trips 2152131451572392425,662 2040 Adjacent Development Trips 123851661312722694,978 AM - 7:15 to 8:15 a.m. Midday - 10 to 11 a.m. PM - 4:30 to 5:30 p.m.