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<br /> <br />Alex Edmondson, a city commissioner, was an <br />opponent, he says, because itwould have forced <br />people to move. By drawing up maps of the city <br />and overlaying school buffer zones, the city also <br />found that most local sex offenders would be <br />concentrated in one tesidential area. <br />Colorado and Minnesota chose nor to enact <br />residency laws after commissioning studies of <br />the regulations' effectiveness. In Colorado, <br />research showed that second-time offenders did <br />not live any closer to a school than those who <br />did not reoffend. Both states' studies noted that <br />residency restrictions tended to isolate offenders, <br />driving them into rural places, or areas lacking <br />jobs, transportation, arid treatment providers. <br />They found that the laws significantly reduced <br />offenders' access to affordable housing. <br />Sex offender residency laws sound good <br />in theory, says Jill Levenson, a researcher at <br />Lynn University in Boca Raton, Florida, who <br />is considered an expert on the topic. "They <br />grow out of fear, out of anger at an abhorrent <br />criminal-often a [person who has hurr] a child. <br />The media perpetuates this perception that <br />all offenders reoffend, that treatment doesn't <br />help, and that [these people have] fixed and <br />unchangeable characteristics." <br />She goes on to say that there is no doubt that <br />some sex offenders are highly dangerous and <br />likely to commit more crimes, but notes that sex <br />offenders are actually a heterogeneous group. <br />"Residency laws tend to be overly inclusive. <br />When we lump [all sex offenders] together, it <br />dilutes the ability of the public to tell who is truly <br />a risk," she says. Laws should target supervision <br />and management pertinent to an individual's <br />offense pattern, she adds. <br />What is the recidivism rate among sex of- <br /> <br />. States with residency laws <br />States without residency laws <br /> <br />fenders? A 2004 study by Andrew Harris and <br />Karl Hanson of Public Safety and Emergency <br />Preparedness Canada, a government agency, <br />notes that the question is not easily answered <br />because the offenders-their age, sex, previous <br />criminal history, relationship to the victims- <br />vary greatly. The age and sex of victims and the <br />types of crimes are also factors. <br />Using data from 10 follow-up studies of <br />adult male offenders, Harris and Hanson's study <br />found that most did nor commit new sex crimes. <br />First-time offenders are less likely to reoffend <br />than those with previous sexual convictions and <br />younger offenders are more likely to commit <br />new offenses. <br />The likelihood of recidivism decreases the <br />longer a convicted offender lives in the com- <br />munity. Fifteen years following an offender's <br />release, 13 percent of incestuous child molesters <br />commit new sex crimes (six percent of them in <br />the first five years). Among molesters with girl <br />victims, 16 percent reoffend within 15 years. <br />Among those with boy victims, that figure is 35 <br />percent (23 percent in the first five years). <br /> <br />'Stranger danger' <br />The most glaring mismatch between broad <br />distance marker laws that prohibit sex offenders <br />from being near schools is the fact that very few <br />children are actually snatched from schools-or <br />anywhere else-and assaulted by strangers. Ac- <br />cording to the U.S. Bureau ofJustice, just over <br />90 percent of all sex crimes against children are <br />committed by a family member or an acquain- <br />tance. (In cases of assault against adults, that <br />number is lower-70 to 75 percent.) <br />"It's the stranger offenses that seem to be the <br />motivation for the legislation, yet the majority <br /> <br />Sex Offenders by State <br />Ala. 5,193 Mont. 1,495 <br />Alaska 4,219 Neb. 2,189 <br />Ariz. 11,305 Nev. 5,573 <br />Ark. 6,426 N.H. 3,250 <br />Calif. 104,824' N.J. 11,003 <br />Colo. 9,125 N.M. 1,915 <br />Conn. 4,106 N.Y. 22,209 <br />D.C. 641 N.C. 9,228 <br />Del. 2,984 N.D. 946 <br />Fla. 35,910 Ohio 3,750 <br />Ga. 11,744 Okla. 5,118 <br />Hawaii 2,170 Ore. 17,160 <br />Idaho 2,801 Pa. 7,736 <br />III. 17,890 R.1. 1,352 <br />Ind. 8,500 S.C. 8,556 <br />Iowa 6,058 S.D. 1,993 <br />Kan. 3,981 Tenn. 8,561 <br />Ky. 5,351 Texas 44,336 <br />La. 6,921 Utah 6,904 <br />Maine 1,670 Vt. 2,340 <br />Md. 4,340 Va. 12,152 <br />Mass. 8,104 Wash. 18,790 <br />Mich. 38,032 W.va. 2,500 <br />Minn. 13,885 Wis. 17,887 <br />Miss. 3,689 Wyo. 981 <br />Mo. 11,031 <br /> <br />'Includes offenders who were incarcerated, deported, and <br />from out of state. <br />Source: Parents for Megan's Law, 2006 <br /> <br />of offenses are perpetrated by offenders known <br />to the victim," says Charles Onley, a research <br />associate at the Center for Sex Offender Man- <br />agement, a project supported by the Office of <br />Justice Programs at the Department ofJustice. <br />"The research is there. A lot of the residency <br />restrictions are impacting people who perpe- <br />trated these acts because they had access; they <br />were in a position of trust and had fostered a <br />relationship," he adds. <br />David D'Amora also notes that national <br />studies estimate that 85 percent of victims never <br />report the crime. "A female or child is at a greater <br />risk of being attacked by a never -arrested person <br />than a convicted sex offender," he says. <br />Of course, not all sex crimes involve children; <br />33 percent of victims of any type of sexual as- <br />sault are over 18, according to the Bureau of <br />Justice National Incidence-Based Reporting <br />System. Yet, buffer laws do not protect places <br />where potential adult victims congregate, nor <br />do most differentiate between sex offenders <br />who offend against children and those who <br />assault adults. <br /> <br />Unintended consequences <br />Residency restrictions can do more harm than <br />good, say some sexual abuse experts. "There <br />are a number of unintended consequences to <br />offenders that the public and politicians aren't <br />all that sympathetic to," says Jill Levenson. <br />Chief among them, as the Colorado and Min- <br />nesota studies note, is offenders' limited access <br />to affordable housing, and sometimes, housing <br />of any kind. <br />Depending how a city is laid out, a distance <br />marker law can virtually exclude sex offenders. <br />Proposition 83, a bill passed overwhelmingly <br />