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2002-02-13 CC Packet
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2002-02-13 CC Packet
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<br />POSSIBLE EXPLANATION OF COLONY <br />ABANDONMENT <br /> <br />HYPOTHESIS #1 Disease <br />ASSESSMENT - To my knowledge there is no evidence of any massive die off. <br />However, that does not preclude the possibility that the birds are getting sick <br />tluring the early part of the breeding season and that this causes them to <br />abandon. 1 judge this as highly unlikely. <br />ACTION PLAN - We should probably be on the look out around the metro <br />area for heron and egret carcasses. They could be evaluated for pesticide . <br />levels, West Nile virus, etc... We could attempt to capture adults (away from the <br />colony would be best) and take blood samples to investigate health. If this is the <br />cause of colony abandonment then examination of only afew individuals shauld <br />be sufficient. <br />HYPOTHESIS #2 Eagle Presence <br />ASSESSMENT - To date there is no direct evidence that this is a problem <br />either at this colony or in Minnesota generally. Investigation of the Eagle nest <br />this past year revealed no evidence of eagle predation on herons and egrets. <br />However, in other regions of the country there are records of colony <br />abandonment as a result of Eagle activity. <br />ACTION PLAN - Make observations of Eagles araund the island to determine <br />whether there are any negative interactions between the species. Examination of <br />nest contents for evidence of eagle predation on herons and egrets would be good <br />to do again this year. <br />HYPOTHESIS #3 Food quantity/quality <br />ASSESSMENT - Foodfor herons and egrets is unlikely to be a limiting resource <br />in the Chain of Lakes Park region. However, it is possible that the quality of that <br />food has changed without our knowledge. <br />ACTION PLAN - We could attempt to capture adults (away from the colony <br />would be best) and examine body weight and blood chemistry to document <br />individual health. If this is the cause of colony abandonment then examination of <br />only a few individuals should he sufficient. <br />HYPOTHESIS #4 Health of nest trees <br />ASSESSMENT - We didn't discuss this at all and I've never been on the island. <br />However, it is hardfor me to imagine how !his could result in the abandonment of <br />the entire colony. <br />ACTION PLAN - We could monitor tree health (could be correlated with the <br />risk of nest destruction due to branch breakage) and density of canopy cover <br />(could be correlated with risk of predation). <br />HYPOTHESIS #5 Human Disturbance (other than noise) <br />ASSESSMENT - It is possible that noise is not much of an issue but that there is <br />a sufficiently high level of human disturbance (e.g., speed boats, canoes, people <br />walking on the island, people fishing) that the herons and egrets have abandoned <br />the island. I don't think we have enough information on level of human <br />disturbance to evaluate how likely this explanation might be. <br />ACTION PLAN - Monitor human use of the island and ac;ijacent waters. Limit <br />use until more evidence is in hand. <br />
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