HomeMy WebLinkAbout2014-03-04 P & Z Meeting Handouts Housing
City of Centerville
2030 Comprehensive Plan
market conditions in the region. Economic conditions and other factors may stall the
pace of development, as well. It is not intended that the anticipated growth represented
in Table 20 be strictly applied. If the pace of development becomes accelerated utility
extensions will be available to respond.
Anoka County and the metropolitan region as a whole are expected to see a decline in
household size by 2030. The estimate for household size is taken from the Metropolitan
Council's System Statement for Centerville. Assuming Centerville is fully developed by
2030, the City will likely have 2,455 households containing 6,236 people. Some
estimates, such as that done by the US Census, show household size declining even
further, and this would mean Centerville's population may even be below 6,000 people
when it is fully developed. The land use plan developed by the City Council and
Planning Commission anticipated these uncertainties, and planned for a population
close to 6,000 in order to meet their goal of sustaining a population above 5,000 people.
Table 20 - Household and Pop ulation Growth
Total Population
Sewered N/A N/A 3,712 4,864 6,144 2,432
Unsewered N/A N/A 19 - - -19
Household Size* 2.97 2.76 2.56 2.54 -0.22
Total Households
Sewered N/A N/A 1,345 1,900 2,419 1,074
Unsewered N/A N/A 7 - - -7
Total Employment
Sewered N/A N/A 600 1,000 1,210 520
Unsewered N/A N/A - - - 0
*from Met Council system statement forecast
* *households same as actual unit count in January 2008
Future Land Use Categories
The Future Land Use Plan identifies a number of categories to guide development and
redevelopment in the City. These generally include residential uses, commercial uses,
industrial uses, public and park uses, and undevelopable land such as right of way and
open water. The following are descriptions of these categories.
Residential Uses
A primary concern for the City regarding residential uses is to protect and enhance the
existing housing stock and to allow new residential developments that contain low,
medium and high density housing as appropriate. The residential areas currently served
by utilities consist primarily of low density single family detached housing. Existing
available land for residential development is either contiguous with areas presently
served by public utilities, or is within areas guided for redevelopment such as the
Downtown Area. It is assumed that public utilities will be extended to new residential
development as appropriate and in a contiguous manner.
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Housing
City of Centerville
2030 Comprehensive Plan
The Metropolitan Council requires a calculation of the net density of areas of planned
residential development that have changed since the last Comprehensive Plan. They
require a minimum density of three units per net developable acre. Only the areas
labeled A, B, E and the downtown area include new residential development and have
changed guiding since the 1997 Comprehensive Plan. Table 18 shows net density in
these areas.
Table 18 - Net DensitV for New Planned Residential Development
A High Densi ty 6.29 12 75
B Mixed Use 2.97 8 24
E High Densi 7.40 12 89
E Medium Density 91.39 5 457
Downtown Mixed Use 26.73 8 214
Total 134.7791 1 859
Net Density of new 2030 residential land 6.37
*minus wetlands, water, parks, and right -of -way
The Future Land Use Plan (Figure 15) identifies the land use designations for optimum
development in the City. Most of the remaining gross vacant land will be dedicated to
residential development. The downtown area will include a mixture of residential uses
and retail or office uses. Commercial land uses will increase by roughly 70 acres, and
industrial uses will increase by roughly 30 acres. Table 19 shows the acres
corresponding to the Future Land Use Plan.
Table 19 - Future Land Use Acres
2030 Future Land Use Gross Acres
CBD /Mixed Use 26.83
City Park 35.77
Commercial 104.13
High Density Residential 46.78
Industrial 78.63
Low Density Residential 614.13
Medium Density Residential 105.13
Public /Semi - Public 47.57
Regional Park Reserve 142.89
Right-of-Way 162.68
Open Water 194.38
Total 1,558.92
Wetland 264.43
Table 20 also shows the anticipated timing of growth in population and households
based on potential new units. As the City is nearly fully developed a multi -year staging
plan is not necessary as all remaining developable areas are within the MUSA or will be
within this planning periods. Anticipated forecasts for growth illustrated in Table 20 help
gauge the timing. In reality development in the City will be more closely related to
53
2040 Draft Forecasts
Released for Public Comment, February 19, 2014t!��
Note These are preliminary and have not been adopted by the Council. 0 = Rogers annexed Hassan Township in 2012, forecasts have been combined.
(pt) denotes part of a city, remainder of city is in neighboring county. t = Laketown Township volt be fully annexed before 2030, forecast has been reassigned to neighboring cities.
axe..
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Andover
26 588
30,598 40 00 8,107 9,811 C` ` 15,400 3,583 4,669 6,200
Anoka
18,076
17,142
20,100 7,262 7,060 8,900 13,489 12,840 14,600
Bethel 443 466 580 149 174 250 229 86 530
Blaine (pt) 45,014 57,186 86,000 15,926 21,077 33,000 16,757 19,668 26,600
Centerville 3,202 3,792 4,200 1,077 1,315 1,700 363 409 500
Circle Pines 4,663 4,918 5,300 1,697 2,006 2,300 2,150 790 1,450
Columbia Heights 18,520 19,496 21,700 8,033 7,926 9,300 6,397 3,484 4,640
Columbus 3,957 3,914 5,300 1,328 1,416 2,200 507 1,172 1,850
Coon Rapids 61,607 61,476 72,500 22,578 23,532 29,300 21,682 23,260 35,700
East Bethel 10,941 11,626 18,200 3,607 4,060 7,400 1,374 1,123 2,200
Fridley 27,449 27,208 29,400 11,328 11,110 12,800 26,257 21,333 29,800
Ham Lake 12,710 15,296 17,300 4,139 5,171 7,100 3,194 2,931 4,480
Hilltop 766 744 1,100 400 380 550 257 314 360
Lexington 2,142 2,049 2,300 819 787 1,000 634 467 700
Lino Lakes 16,791 20,216 29,000 4,857 6,174 10,600 2,671 3,313 6,000
Linwood Township 4,668 5,123 4,700 1,578 1,884 2,000 154 219 430
Nowthen 3,557 4,443 5,400 1,123 1,450 2,100 337 318 720
Oak Grove 6,903 8,031 10,200 2,200 2,744 4,100 359 741 1,010
Ramsey 18,510 23,668 32,800 5,906 8,033 13,000 4,008 4,779 7,600
St. Francis 4,910 7,218 12,500 1,638 2,520 5,100 1,247 1,537 2,070
Spring Lake Park (pt) 6,667 6,234 6,800 2,676 2,597 3,100 4,401 2,934 3,670
Anoka County Total 298,084 330,844 426,080 106,428 121,227 171,200 110,050 106,387 151,110
Benton Township 939 786 740 307 297 300 282 274 350
Camden Township 955 922 830 316 329 330 15 56 60
Carver 1,266 3,724 14,200 458 1,182 5,300 176 187 700
Chanhassen (pt) 20,321 22,952 36,200 6,914 8,352 14,000 8,366 9,746 16,240
Chaska 17,603 23,770 34,900 6,169 8,816 14,200 10,955 11,123 16,300
Cologne 1,012 1,519 4,600 385 539 1,900 294 270 470
Dahlgren Township 1,453 1,331 720 479 494 300 203 202 200
Hamburg 538 513 600 206 201 250 117 109 150
Hancock Township 367 345 410 121 127 170 35 10 10
Hollywood Township 1,102 1,041 1,200 371 387 500 100 90 150
Laketown Township t 2,331 2,243 - 637 660 - 355 116 -
Mayer 554 1,749 3,000 199 589 1,200 92 151 200
New Germany 346 372 1,400 143 146 600 50 46 90
Norwood Young America 3,108 3,549 8,800 1,171 1,389 3,900 1,559 1,165 2,300
San Francisco Township 888 832 960 293 307 400 61 46 100
Victoria 4,025 7,345 15,000 1,367 2,435 5,700 932 1,502 2,270
Waconia 6,814 10,697 20,900 2,568 3,909 8,400 4,082 5,578 9,000
Waconia Township 1,284 1,228 1,500 429 434 600 72 98 400
Watertown 3,029 4,205 3,900 1,078 1,564 1,700 682 556 1,220
Watertown Township 1,432 1,204 1,100 478 468 500 207 392 400
Young America Township 838 715 760 267 266 300 105 119 120
Carver County Total 70,205 91,042 151,720 24,356 32,891 60,550 28,740 31,836 50,730