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2011_0919_packet
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2/15/2012 1:34:41 PM
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12/20/2011 3:20:07 PM
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From 1900 through 1930, homeownership levels fluctuated from 45to 48 percent, until <br />the Great Depression and World War U brought it down to 43 percent in 1940. Following <br />the war, the great suburbanization of the United States raised homeownership over <br />the next two decades to 62 percent in 1960, driven by booming eoonomy, rising real <br />incomes, favorable tax laws, a rejuvenated homebuiLding industry, and easier financing. <br />One factor in this decline is demographics. 'The Harvard Joint Center notes: <br />Merno_qraphic forces–especl all.y the shift toward minorities, who have rnLich lower <br />ownership rates than whites—in fact worked a_qal'nsthomeownership _qal ns. Indeed, If <br />homeownership rates �a_qe, racelethn�t.y, and hoLisehold t-yPe had rernainedat7995 <br />levels'oemo_yraphic trends alone wou/d have reobced the homeownership rate byaftu// <br />peroenta_qe point over mh1speriod. <br />[The State of the Nation's HoLjsl'n_q 2009, page 13.) <br />The recession has accelerated this decline, largely through the influence of rising fore- <br />closures and the drop in new household formations noted above. <br />For all these reasons, the homeownership rate is likely to tsLL beck to the low 60 per.- <br />cent range, where it was before 1990. This is also the range predicted by Sam Zell, the <br />billionaire Chicago real estate 'investor, at a UL| meeting in New York City in January <br />2010. Arthur C. Nelson, director of the Metropolitan Research Center atthe University <br />of Utah, has also suggested that this is where the rate will finally settle. <br />To put this in perspective, homeownership rates in the European Union range from the <br />low 40 percent range to 85 percent in Spain. 'There appears to be no magical rate that <br />produces a stable economy and community, and the experience of the 30 years from <br />1960 to 1990.----when the country prospered despite homeownership rate in the low <br />
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