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<br />TWIN LAKES, Roseville, Minnesota <br />Market Assessment & Demand Analysis <br /> <br />Condo- Townhouse Market Assessment <br /> <br />. The region is expected to grow by more than 107,000 persons and 94,000 households <br />between 2004 and 2009. Projections by SRC and the Twin Cities Met Council <br />indicate that the Roseville market area is expected to add about 2,150 households <br />during this period, accounting for about 2.3% of regional household growth. <br /> <br />. Twin Cities job growth has improved, but has been the lagging indicator during the <br />ongoing economic recovery. The State indicates that the 7-county region added about <br />15,000 jobs during 2004. A robust Twin Cities economy added more than 37,000 <br />jobs per year between 1995 and 2000. Coming out of the recent recession, regional <br />economists had predicted 25,000 to 30,000 new jobs per year for the region through <br />2010. These projections have been tempered by gains in business productivity and <br />cautiousness on the part of Twin Cities employers. Nonetheless, job growth of <br />20,000 to 25,000 per year is likely over the coming five-year period. <br /> <br />. Record low interest rates have fueled a strong home buying market in the Twin <br />Cities, in spite of lagging job growth in recent years. The region has added nearly <br />70,000 new housing units since 2001. During this period, the subject market area has <br />issued just 421 permits for new housing units, capturing less than 1.0% of regional <br />permits. Considering the location of Roseville and the other market area <br />communities in close proximity to job centers and urban amenities, and based upon <br />our knowledge of the regional housing market and growth patterns, we conclude that <br />there is strong pent-up demand for new housing product in the Roseville area. <br /> <br />. Rising interest rates are expected to moderate demand somewhat, particularly for <br />high-end product. However, as job growth becomes more robust, demand for entry- <br />level and mid-range for-sale housing is expected to increase. This trend bodes well <br />for well-sited, mid-priced developments such as Twin Lakes. <br /> <br />. The median household income in the competitive market area is estimated to be <br />$59,984, slightly higher than the $59,108 regional median income. The majority of <br />homes in Twin Lakes, as proposed, will sell for between $180,000 and $300,000, <br />requiring an approximate household income of $50,000 to $100,000. An estimated <br />16,280 market area households have incomes in this range, with another 397,048 such <br />households throughout the balance of the region. <br /> <br />. According to estimates by SRC, 65.5% of households in the competitive market area <br />own their housing, compared to 72.4% regionally. The fact that the market area's <br />homeownership lags that of the region is due in part to the age distribution of the <br />household base, as well as the minimal amount of new construction activity in the <br />area as compared to other parts of the region. <br /> <br />GV A Marquette Advisors <br /> <br />Page 11 <br />