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<br />TWIN LAKES, Roseville, Minnesota <br />Market Assessment & Demand Analysis <br /> <br />Senior Condo Market Assessment <br /> <br />INTRODUCTION <br /> <br />Our market assessment begins with an overview of the proposed development concept. We then <br />present a discussion of the likely buyer profile and approximate competitive market area for <br />senior condominiums at Twin Lakes, as well as the primary geographic draw area for housing on <br />the site. Next, we present an analysis of pertinent demographic and economic data and the <br />supply of senior housing in the competitive market area. We conclude with our demand <br />analysis for the proposed senior condos at Twin Lakes. <br /> <br />PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT <br /> <br />The proposed senior (age 55+) condominium housing mix in Phase I of Twin Lakes includes a <br />total of 240 units to be built by Rottlund Homes. The units will be located in three multi-story <br />buildings featuring underground parking. The buildings will be located in the central portion of <br />the project area near the intersection of Prior Avenue and Twin Lakes Parkway. The units will <br />offer between 900 and 1,200 square feet and have an average price of about $220,000 ($183 to <br />$244 pst). The construction timing will be market driven, but the developers are proposing a <br />three to five-year build out period for the project. <br /> <br />( <br /> <br />BUYER PROFILE <br /> <br />Based on the product types proposed, the location of the property, and the experience of similar <br />housing developments by Rottlund Homes, the Twin Lakes community is expected to attract <br />primarily active seniors moving from single-family homes within the market area. Buyers are <br />likely to be slightly more affluent, younger and more active than those seniors opting for a senior <br />apartment home or assisted living environment. Based on the sales activity at other senior condo <br />developments in the Twin Cities region, we expect the project will appeal to both singles and <br />couples, and that most buyers will be in their early 60s to early 70s. <br /> <br />COMPETITIVE MARKET AREA <br /> <br />The approximate competitive market area for senior condos at Twin Lakes includes the <br />following cities: Roseville, Lauderdale, Falcon Heights, St. Anthony, New Brighton, Arden <br />Hills, and Shoreview. The project will compete for buyers primarily with other senior housing <br />developments in these communities. We recognize, however, that due to the quality of the site <br />and its proximity to key transportation corridors, supporting development and urban amenities, <br />housing at Twin Lakes will attract buyers from throughout the entire Twin Cities metro area and <br />beyond. Further, older adults and retirees often choose to purchase homes close to their adult <br />children. Therefore, we pay close attention to demographic and economic indicators for not only <br />the competitive market area, but also for the region as a whole. ( <br /> <br />GV A Marquette Advisors <br /> <br />Page 22 <br />