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<br />Proposed Regional Fiscal Impact Study <br />(revised June 22, 1998) <br /> <br />The Metropolitan Council's approach for determining the fiscal impacts of development in the region is <br />to conduct detailed studies of a number of cities and school districts that are at different stages of the <br />development process. The analysis will examine the fiscal impact of development for two 2020 growth <br />scenarios-continued regional trends and the Council's growth strategy-and for a number of land use <br />patterns. The case studies for each community will be used to determine the marginal costs of providing <br />services for expected growth in the community. These results will then be used to develop a larger fiscal <br />impact model for the region. <br /> <br />A consultant will be expected to conduct in-depth interviews, gather local data, prepare a level of service <br />paper and build the fiscal impact model. Council staff will provide regional data on the forecasts and <br />growth scenarios, as well as help the consultant with land use pattern assumptions and similar <br />information. The liaison group, described below, will be a reaction group throughout the process, helping <br />to shape the assumptions and direction of the work and to review the results of the final report. <br /> <br />Organizational Phase: <br /> <br />Establish liaison group. The Council staff will create a liaison group of organizations most likely to be <br />affected by the results of the study to help staff and consultant with stuqy design and to critique results <br />along the way. This group would have local officials, an Association of Metropolitan Municipalities <br />representative, county officials, representatives from school districts, special interest representatives, <br />builders/developers and members from the Council's "Cost of Growth" study group that is already <br />meeting with Council staff. Members of this study group include University of Minnesota faculty, <br />Minnesota Department of Agriculture staff, Minnesotans for an Energy Efficient Economy staff, the <br />Builders Association, the Land Stewardship Project, and the Legislative Commission on Minnesota <br />Resources. The initial meeting will include review of the lessons learned from recent local studies on the <br />cost of growth. The consultant will provide technical support for group (make presentations and/or <br />respond to questions)-four meetings. <br /> <br />Sign up communities. The case study communities will be required to provide time and resources for this <br />study and therefore must agree in advance to work with the consultant. The incentive for them to <br />participate is that they will receive an individual fiscal analysis for their community. At this step, eight <br />communities (two central cities, two fully developed cities, two maturing suburbs and two developing <br />suburbs) and two school districts must be signed up to participate in the study. <br /> <br />Case Study Design: <br /> <br />Develop basic assumptions. The study will look at two scenarios--current trends and the Council's <br />adopted Regional Growth Strategy. The Council staff has community-level population, household and <br />employment forecasts for these two scenarios, but various land use categories (residential and <br />commerciaV industrial) must be determined for each of the selected communities and school districts. <br />Finally, nonfiscal impacts (such as pollution, housing affordability, crime, etc.) will be studied by the <br />Council staff along with the fiscal impact analysis done by the consultant. The list of non fiscal impacts to <br />be studied will be developed in this step. The consultant will provide technical support in detennining <br />emJ:!loyment allocations and land use category assumptions. <br /> <br />Allocate forecasts to case study communities. Council staff will. allocate forecasts to each land use type <br />under both scenarios for the sample communities and school districts. Population and household <br />forecasts will be allocated to residential land use categories, and employment forecasts will be allocated <br />