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<br /> <br />Research Bulletin <br /> <br />Research [1 Analysis on Current <br /> <br />September 1990 <br /> <br />Fiscal Impact Analysis: <br />What It Is and How To Use It <br /> <br />lJfichael L. Siegel and Susan Robinson <br /> <br />The concept of systematically estimating the costs and benefits of anticipated economic and <br />changes is by no means new, Local, state and federal governments have long undertaken cost-benefit, <br />financial capability and fiscal impact studies to assess the fiscal and economic effects of large-scale <br />energy and defense projects and other facilities, Fiscal impact analysis (FIA) has been used by the <br />planning profession for the last fifty years, Traditionally, planners used it on a project-by-project basis to <br />determine the local consequences of specific development proposals, More recently, FIA is being used on <br />a jurisdiction-wide level to evaluate the financial effects of alternative land use and economic <br />development policies, as well as to model and evaluate the effects of demographic and economic trends. <br /> <br /> <br />In the budget or finance office, fiscal impact analysis can be used to assist in capital improvement <br />programming, to forecast revenues and to project a jurisdiction's financial position in future years, Fiscal <br />impact analysis provides an opportunity for finance officers and local officials to examine the costs of <br />providing services and how they can be funded, <br /> <br />WHAT FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS IS <br />Fiscal impact analysis is a method used to measure the fiscal consequences of changes to existing <br />community conditions, It provides a structural approach to determine the effect of a change in the <br />operating environment on the revenues, expenditures and net fiscal flows of a particular governmental <br />entity over a specified period of time, Most contemporary fiscal impact analysis is conducted using <br />computer models to establish the structural approach. Following are situations in which fiscal impact <br />can be used: <br />* General population growth, FIA could be used to project the differential impact of a 2 percent growth <br />rate as opposed to a 4 percent growth rate, <br />* Demographic changes and effects of urbanization, An FIA could estimate the fiscal implications of <br />high-density growth as compared to low density. <br />*Location or relocation of major employers or industries, An example would be to estimate the impacts <br />of the location of a power plant or loss of a major manufacturing facility, <br />* Location or relocation of governmental facilities. An example would be to estimate the effects on a <br />jurisdiction of public housing, solid waste facilities, prisons or other major governmental facilities, <br />*Changes in programs, policies or revenue structures, An example would be to anticipate the fiscal <br />consequences of providing tax incentives for certain economic development projects. <br />* Changes in the service area boundaries, An FIA could be used to determine the impacts of a major <br />annexation, rezoning or consolidation of governmental services, <br />* Evaluate financial conditions, FIA can provide an early warning system for signs of financial stress. <br />