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<br /> <br />This fiscal a scientific as <br />This applied when celtain critical factors in an economic scenario <br />(such as the discount rate or the assessed value of new houses) are unknown. Rather than <br />one celtainly incorrect) value for these unknown factors, a sensitivity <br />estimates fiscal a wide range of possible values for these factors, For example, <br />on the discount rate and the assessed value of new homes, a Farm subdivision <br />could generate a net loss of between $920,680 and discounted 1998 <br />sensitivity calculates fiscal impact for this full range of potential values, <br />makers to assess the fiscal impact at various assessment levels and discount rates. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Inzpacts Not Included in a Fiscal Impact Analysis <br />Fiscal impact analysis is a well-defined tool considering only "net local public costs and <br />revenues" (Burchell and Listokin 1983), as ret1ected in taxes paid by local propelty owners. <br />Fiscal impact analysis does not consider numerous impOltant economic, environmental, equity, <br />quality-of-life and other impacts which often accompany new development. In many cases, <br />these other impacts provide an even stronger argument for open space and fanl1land preservation <br />(Johnston 1997, National Park Service 1995), This analysis also ignores "secondary impacts" of <br />residential development, such as wages paid to constmction workers and money spent by new <br />residents at local shops, Although secondary impacts are sometimes (incorrectly) included in <br />simplified applications of benefit-cost analysis, it is well-established that inclusion of sllch <br />impacts is inappropriate, and leads to biased benefit-cost estimates (Sassone and Schaffer 1978), <br /> <br />Fiscal Impact Analysis of a Hypothetical Subdivision of Perry Farm: Results <br /> <br />Details of fiscal impact methodology and calculation are described in Appendices One, Two and <br />Three. Costs are calculated based on a 49-unit development of standard three-bedroom homes, <br />each valued between $150,000 and $190,000, It is assumed that build-out and purchase of new <br />homes would occur over four years, in even 25 percent increments (12.25 homes are built and <br />purchased each year, until all 49 homes are occupied in the fomth year), Based on standardized <br />demographic multipliers, a typical three-bedroom home in New England houses an average of <br />3,3163 residents, and places 0,7792 children in local schools (Burchill et a!. 1994). Accordingly, <br />the Perry subdivision is assumed to generate approximately 38 school age children and 162 total <br />residents. All infrastmcture is assumed to be paid by housing developers, who in addition pay a <br />$350 per unit impact fee to the town. However, it is assumed that the town would provide basic <br />services to these new residential units, including public schooling, police, fire, water, sewer and <br />street maintenance (plowing, sweeping). Residential units are assumed to generate taxes at <br />Middletown's current tax rate 6,60 per thousand of assessed value), to pay a share <br />town fees as described by Appendix Two. Residential units are also assumed to pay for all water <br />and sewer services used, except for "overage charges" spread across all system users3 <br /> <br />Overage charges are fees charged to the Town of Middletown by the City of Newport, based on each day that <br />Middletown's use of the Newport sewage treatment facilities exceed contractual limits. These fees are spread across <br />all users of the sewer system. <br /> <br />7 <br />