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<br />\\1',1;., \--/cu,,, ij~)II'1 /eLf <br /> <br /> <br />Steve <br />. fiffg. <br /> <br />No-transit <br />theory <br />doesn't <br />add up <br /> <br />A dozen yeaIS ago, Ross Perot <br />declared that the American econ.. <br />omy could be saved if we "just <br />got under the hood and fixed it" <br />His homesplll1 remedy sounded <br />great for about five minutes, af- <br />ter which deeper reflection took <br />hold and Perot, as the campaign <br />proceeded, revealed himself as a <br />simplistic crank <br />David Strom and the Taxpay- <br />ers League now occupy similar <br />ground in Minnesota Their dec- <br />1aration that norrnaIlevels of con- <br />gestion in the midst of a bus strike <br />prove the irrelevance of transit as <br />a congestion reliever makes for an <br />appealing piece of garage logic <br />But it's demonstrably wrong. <br />Start with Euclid (300 B.C.) <br />and the development of mod- <br />ern geometry, manifested in <br />the chart from metro Phoenix <br />on the next page. A single <br />light-rail car at rush hour, or <br />3.25 buses, moves as many <br />people as 100 cars. <br />Continue with a series of <br />detailed studies under actual <br />conditions. The Texas Trans- <br />portation Institute, the nation's <br />leading authority on traffic <br />congestion, last year studied <br />five methods used by 75 cities. <br />Transit far outpaced other rem- <br />edies, reducing congestion by <br />29.9 percent Rarop meters cut <br />congestion by 4 percent, co- <br />ordinated traffic signals by 1.5 <br />percent, accident and hreak- <br />down removal by 5 percent and <br />HOV lanes by 0.5 percent. <br /> <br />@ <br /> <br />How about ditching tran- <br />sit and adding freeway lanes, <br />as Strom suggests? It hasn't <br />worked. "Roads cannot be the <br />only solution in most cities," <br />the study concluded. "ft will be <br />difficult for most big cities to <br />address their mobility needs by <br />only constructing more roads." <br />Atlanta has been a top <br />proving ground. In the 20 <br />years after I 980, it doubled <br />its freeway capacity and con- <br />fined transit to the poor. Traf- <br />fic got mucb worse. Finally, in <br />2003, it scrapped the idea of <br />an outer beltway for a more <br />modest approach that com- <br />bined roads, transit and infill <br />development. Why? It saved <br />an average household nearly <br />$700 a year in taxes, provided <br />$2 billion more in economic <br />development and moved <br />people more efficiently. <br />It's the same conclusion the <br />Bush administration reached <br />earlier this month hy advocat- <br />ing (cover your ears) "smart <br />growth" as the best way to save <br />taxpayers money on trans- <br />portation and infrastructure. <br />A study of 13 metro areas by <br />the Environmental Protec- <br />tion Agency found that transit <br />combined with more compact <br />development strategies pro- <br />duce less traffic congestion, but <br />that adding more roads alone <br />doesn't help. <br />Here are the Bush adrninis- <br />tmtion's own words: "Regions <br />with more characteristics of a <br />smart growth transportation <br />system experience more ef- <br />ficient vehicle travel and mod- <br />est improvements in traffic <br />congestion. ... Lane additions <br />and lower densities do not, by <br />themselves, prevent worsening <br />congestion .... Indeed, there is <br />little correlation between the <br />supply of lane mileage per per- <br />son and system performance. <br />instead, it seems that greater <br />connectivity, transit availability <br />and pedestrian-friendliness are <br />at least partiafly responsible for <br />superior transportation and en- <br />vironmental performance." <br />