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2005_0314_Packet
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2005_0314_Packet
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9/14/2009 9:59:57 AM
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Roseville City Council
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Council Agenda/Packets
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TWIN LAKES, Roseville, Minnesota <br />Market Assessment 8�. Demand Analysis Executive SummarX <br />another 250 units are projected to come online over the next 24 months in three <br />projects. Even if Twin Lakes plus all of these projects come to market during the <br />coming three years, there appears to be sufficient market demand to support them. <br />Further, the proposed Rottlund development has a superior location and is <br />differentiated from the competition in that it is the only senior condo (non- <br />cooperative) project expected to come online in t�e market area in the next 24 <br />months. <br />Our calculations indicate that the market will tighten between 2005 and 2008. <br />Therefore, we advise that the 240 senior units at Twin Lakes be constructed in the <br />coming 24-month period to take advantage of current pent-up demand. <br />� Based on the projected demographic characteristics of the subject market area and the <br />region as a whole, and given the development concept as proposed, we expect that the <br />senior housing proposed for Twin Lakes will expect a buyer profile as follows: <br />o Older adults and younger seniors, generally in their early 60s to early 70s. <br />o Approximately an equal distribution of senior couples and singles, whereas <br />rental apartments tend to attract mostly singles <br />o Senior homeowners with homes valued in the $175,000 to $250,000 range <br />RETAIL AND RESTAURANTS <br />� We estimate total unr�et demand for approximately 1,275,000 square feet of retail <br />space and 413,000 square feet of restaurant space within a 7-minute drive time <br />surrounding the Twin Lakes site. <br />It is clear from our calculations that there is sufficient demand to support the 317,000 <br />square feet at Twin Lakes, in addition to the other retail projects currently in the <br />development pipeline in the trade area. The Twin Lakes site is the best available <br />retail site of substantial size in the trade area. The pending development at Rosedale <br />will be competitive, but we believe there is sufficient demand for both projects to <br />effectively provide differentiation among the overall retail mix so as to compliment <br />one another. <br />The demand analysis provides useful information regarding store-types currently in <br />demand in the trade area. It appears, for example, that there is a surplus of some store <br />types such as Electronics and Appliance Stores and Building Materials and Supplies <br />Dealers. Meanwhile, there appears to be large demand for Grocery Stores (much of <br />which will be served by the new Super Target and Cub Foods store), Furniture Stores, <br />Clothing c�. Shoe Stores, Department and General Merchandise Stores. Our <br />calculations also indicate substantial demand for Book Stores and Sporting <br />Goods/Hobby/Musical Instrument Dealers. <br />GVA Marquette Advisors Page 4 <br />
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