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Page 16 <br />The price elasticity of demand for the bar/tavern industry is estimated to be <br />approximately -1.9, after adjusting the regression price coefficient by industry labor <br />productivity. While the demand for alcoholic beverages is inelastic (less than -1.0), the <br />consumption of these drinks in a bar or tavern environment has been found by other <br />researchers to be significantlymore price sensitive. The magnitude of the estimated price <br />elasticity puts the measurement in the elastic zone, implying relatively high price <br />sensitivityby bar patrons. <br />The negative coefficient for the smoking-ban"dummy" variable indicates a statistically <br />significant detrimental impact on industry employment which dates back to the earlier <br />initiative by New York City in 1995 and worsened by the NYCINYS action in 2003. <br />A similar function �as fit for the restaurant industry. A log • log employment demand <br />equation v�s estimated linking restaurant industry employment to personal income, an <br />industry price deflator and dummy variables for the WTC attack transition and the <br />introduction of smoking-ban regulations. The anti-smokingban dummy v�as customized <br />to reflect the coverage impact on the restaurant industry, distinct from the bar/tavern <br />industry <br />Regression of Ln (NYS employment in the restaurant industty) on the following: <br />coefficient t-value <br />intercept 6.00247 8.626 <br />Ln (NYS personal income) 0.5761 5.231 <br />DummyR -014156 -6.585 <br />l���nm�� �.{�QS� �.� <br />Ln(industryprice) -030538 -1.798 <br />L,n�cm�l � �3} �,���'� '�_��S <br />r-square = 0.9914 <br />r-bar square = 0.9893 <br />where <br />. industry price - price deflator for the restaurant industry (2000=100.0� 1978-2003 <br />DummyR • category variable coded to reflect industry coverage of 1995 NXC ban <br />and 2003 NYC/Nl'S bans 1978-2003 <br />The income elasticity for the restaurant industry is estimated to be 2.1. Like the <br />bar/tavern industry, this industryprovidesproducts that are viewed as "normal" goods by <br />its customers. The magnitude of the elasticity is somewhat larger than that of the <br />bar/tavern industry, suggesting a bigger industry response to changes in general economic <br />conditions. Other studies have found the income elasticity for the restaurant industry in <br />the 2.0 - 3.0 range. <br />