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Debra Bloom, P.E. .Ianua~y 15, 2008 <br />City of Roseville Page 9 <br />The McGough proposed Iona Lane connection is not in compliance with the previously planned <br />Twin Lakes AUAR internal roadway configuration, nor is it in compliance with the access <br />spacing gusdelines of Ramsey County {full-access intersection spacing with traffic signal <br />control). Therefore, this connection was nat included in any of the three roadway configurations <br />previously discussed. Tl~e operation analysis sections that follow discuss the impacts associated <br />with each of the previously described alternatives and the necessary improvements needed to <br />operate acceptably. It should be noted that only modest improvements are reviewed for each <br />alternative before considering the next alternative as a mitigation strategy far acceptable <br />operations. <br />TRAFFIC FORECASTS <br />The proposed development will be completed in year 2010. Therefore, traffic forecasts were <br />developed for year 2011 {one year after construction). In addition to year 2011 forecasts, year <br />2016 forecast volumes were developed in order to review the adjacent roadway network with <br />other developments constructed in the Twin Lakes redevelopment area. Based on existing <br />growth patterns, regional fronds and the potential for additional adjacent development to occur <br />within the immediate Twin Lakes Park redevelopment area, an annual growth rate of one-half <br />percent was applied to the existing peak hour volumes to develop year 2011 and 2016 <br />background traffic forecasts. <br />Based an discussions with City staff, one additional development was assumed constructed <br />(Cleveland Avenue Hotel) under year 2011 conditions. This adjacent development is located in <br />subarea I, black 3b. Under year 2016 conditions, multiple adjacent developments were assumed <br />constructed in subarea I, blocks la, 3a and 4. Refer to Figure 3 for subarea and block locations <br />for each development. The trips generated by these developments were included in the year <br />2011 and 2016 build traffic forecasts and analysis. As shown in Table 2, trip generation <br />estimates for the proposed and adjacent developments were generated based on information in <br />the 2003 1TE Trip Generation Reports. <br />Due to the mix of land uses, developed at different points in time, a modest multi-use and multi- <br />modal reduction factor was applied to the trip generation estimates {this value was leveraged <br />from the work completed as part of the Tivrn Lakes AUAR URdate). This reduction was taken as <br />an internal capture percentage far each respective use. The directional trip distribution for the <br />proposed development is based on existing travel patterns, regional daily traffic volumes, and <br />previous studies ir- the area {see Figure 6: Directional Distribution). The combination of <br />background traffic, trips generated by the proposed development and adjacent developments for <br />year 2011 and 2016 are shown in Figures 7 and 8, respectively. <br />