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~~ i ~® <br />~, ~r` ®.e Contini,ied from pale 1 <br />The computer modeling predicts <br />future water levels in aquifers based on <br />historical data on rainfall and evapora- <br />tion, surface land. use patterns and <br />topography, measurements of the water <br />depth in thousands of w=ells and data <br />about the connection between ground <br />and surface waters. The modeling also <br />factors in assumptions about population <br />growth and patterns of future water use. <br />The water supply plan, which is <br />scheduled to be considered by the Met- <br />ropolitan Council early next year and <br />eventually must be adopted by both the <br />council and the Department of Natural <br />Resources before it goes into effect, is <br />intended to guide water use and water <br />planning in the metro area through 2050. <br />A current metro population of about <br />2.9 million people is projected to grow to <br />3.6 million by 2030, and to 4.3 million by <br />2050. <br />The water supply plan, plus appen- <br />dices and maps that accompany it, are <br />available at: www.metrocouncil.org. The <br />plan's narrative emphasizes the rela- <br />tive abundance of ground water that <br />the metro area enjoys. The maps and <br />appendices spell out the water problems, <br />where they are predicted to occur, on a <br />community-by-community basis. <br />No city would have to changes its <br />grater supply or water use based solely <br /> <br />A. I think the state is doing enough <br />to regulate the ethanol industry, and <br />here's why I think that. When you look <br />at the water quality and quantity issues <br />in Minnesota, there are many industrial <br />users and municipal users that are as <br />large, or larger, than ethanol plants. <br />What we have to do is look at the whole <br />picture. In order to address ethanol and <br />biofuels, we have to make sure to invest <br />on the computer predictions. <br />But the modeling would force some <br />communities to more closely monitor the <br />health of the aquifers from which they <br />pump. If measurements confirmed the <br />big declines the modeling predicts in <br />some areas, those communities would <br />have to institute <br />rigorous conserva- <br />tions plans, switch <br />pumping to other <br />aquifers, buy water <br />from their neighbors <br />or build treatment plants to purify river <br />water, instead of relying on wells. <br />"I think probably what it tells us," <br />said Chris Elvrum, the Metro Council's <br />water supply manager, "is if we contin- <br />ued blindly ahead-business as usual, as <br />many people put it-we would run into <br />problems with sustainability... We're <br />going to have to shift a little bit away <br />from business as usual. But, at this point, <br />it doesn't suggest we're going to have to <br />stop growing. We're going to have to be <br />a little bit more creative about how we <br />get water to these communities." <br />Elvrum said the picture the H=ater sup- <br />ply plan paints is far from a "widespread <br />doomsday scenario." <br />But the plan clearly shows that some <br />communities may have to have to choose <br />between growing and continuing to use <br />overall in our ground water monitor- <br />ing and research, rather than targeting <br />a given industry. Another point about <br />ethanol: If you look at how their effi- <br />ciencies are improving, it's a different <br />industry than it was 10 years ago. <br />A. I just left breakfast with the <br />deputy commissioner of the PCA and <br />an assistant commissioner of DNR, and <br />they wanted a meeting on this very <br />~c~rr~~tt ~tra ~u[atia~ +~f <br />[[[[® pia [ [ r~j~~~ <br />t~ r~ t~ Q [[I[~n y 2a~o. <br />ground grater as they currently do. <br />The executive summary of the 90-page <br />water supply plan says that as a "com- <br />mwlity reaches identified thresholds <br />that indicate the possibility of negatively <br />impacting the region's water supply, it <br />must take actions that range from moni- <br />toring the situation <br />to ceasing use of <br />the water source." <br />"It's a big <br />deal," Jim Japs, the <br />assistant director <br />of the Waters Division of the Minnesota <br />Department of Natural Resources, said of <br />the water supply plan. <br />Japs, who served on a committee that <br />advised Elvrum and the Metropolitan <br />Council staff that developed the plan, <br />said both the DNR and the council will <br />use the plan to help communities come <br />to terms with a relatively constant under- <br />ground water supply and a growing <br />population. <br />The water supply plan includes a <br />set of "water supply issue responses" <br />detailing actions communities would be <br />required to take if the modeling predicts <br />significant ground water declines or <br />interference with surface waters within <br />their borders. In most cases, the required <br />responses include strict monitoring of <br />Met Council model... Continues on page 10 <br />subject. I think the coordination is pretty <br />good. For examp]e, on budget develop- <br />ment, we're always working together. <br />Water quality monitoring-department <br />of ag, health, PCA-~n=e share it. There <br />are very few interagency disagreements. <br />A good example is acetochlor, a her- <br />bicide. The Department of Ag recom- <br />mended that PCA take a look and <br />regulate that. <br />With that said, there are always areas <br />for improvement, and I think one of the <br />areas is trying to have good databases <br />that are shared to make sure that the <br />research is robust enough and doesn't <br />overlap. We can do more there. <br />1=~CETS December 2008 <br />