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Ramsey County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2018 <br /> <br />Page | 99 <br /> <br />Dam Failure and Climate Change <br />Dams are designed based on assumptions about a river’s annual flow behavior that will determine the <br />volume of water behind the dam and flowing through the dam at any one time. Changes in weather <br />patterns due to climate change may change the expected flow pattern. It is conceivable that bigger <br />rainfalls at earlier times in the year could threaten a dam’s designed margin of safety, causing dam <br />operators to release greater volumes of water earlier in a storm cycle to maintain the required margins <br />of safety. Such early releases of increased volumes can increase flood potential downstream. <br />While climate change will not increase the probability of catastrophic dam failure, it may increase the <br />probability of design failures. Minnesota had a dam failure due to a large storm event in June 2012. <br />The Forebay canal in Carlton County had operated as designed for nearly 100 years. The intensity of the <br />2012 rain event caused a failure of the canal wall which caused significant damage. Climate change is <br />adding a new level of uncertainty that needs to be considered with respect to assumptions made during <br />dam construction. <br />Vulnerability <br />Areas most susceptible to the effects of dam failure are the populated places downstream from a dam <br />location. The vulnerability of each jurisdiction to dam failure has not changed due to any development in <br />the last 5 years. <br />Plans and Programs in Place <br />Ramsey County Emergency Operations Plan, Ramsey County COOP/COG Plan; Ramsey County Multijurisdictional <br />Hazard Mitigation Plan, THIRA – Ramsey County maintains several different plans including an Emergency <br />Operations Plan, a Ramsey County COOP/COG Plan and the Ramsey County Multijurisdictional Hazard <br />Mitigation Plan, which are designed as guides for emergency and/or recovery operations. These plans are <br />intended to assist key county/municipal officials and emergency organizations to carry out their <br />responsibilities for the protection of life and property under a wide range of emergency conditions. <br />Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) National Dam Safety Program – For 30 years, the federal <br />government has used the National Dam Safety Program (NDSP) to protect Americans from dam failure. <br />The NDSP is a partnership of states, federal agencies, and other stakeholders that encourages individual <br />and community responsibility for dam safety. The NDSP is intended to help states bring the necessary <br />resources to bear on inspection, classification, and emergency planning for dam safety. <br />National Inventory of Dams (NID) – The NID is a database managed by the Army Corps of Engineers. The <br />NID is used to track information on the nation’s water control infrastructure. Information from the NID <br />is used in the development of water resource management, land use management, floodplain <br />management, risk management, and emergency action planning. <br />Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, Division of Waters – Dam Safety Program – The Minnesota <br />DNR Dam Safety Program and current dam safety regulations require the safe design, construction, <br />operation, and maintenance of dams in Minnesota. The state program includes review of design plans <br />and plans for proposed dams, safety inspections of existing dams, and repair of dams. Saint Paul <br />Emergency Management has plans in place covering possible failure of the Ford Lock & Dam #1 located