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TABLE 4: AADT GROWTH ANALYSIS <br />Roadway <br />Location <br />2015 AADT <br />2040 AADT <br />Growth <br />North of County Road H <br />137000 <br />155000 <br />0.5% <br />1-35W <br />South of CSAH 96 <br />102000 <br />107000 <br />0.2% <br />East of US 10 <br />18500 <br />24000 <br />1.0% <br />CSAH 96 <br />East of Hamline Road <br />27500 <br />28000 <br />0.1% <br />US 10 <br />North of 1-694 <br />43500 <br />60500 <br />1.3% <br />East of Silver Lake Road <br />115000 <br />121000 <br />0.2% <br />1-694 <br />East of 1-35W <br />77000 <br />79500 <br />0.1% <br />Average Growth Rate <br />0.5% <br />The average growth rate anticipated for the study roadways is 0.5%. This growth rate is identical to the <br />growth rate which was determined in the 2024 Rice Creek Commons Traffic Study. The determined growth <br />rate of 0.5% was therefore applied to all study intersections to grow the traffic from 2024 to 2040. No <br />external developments are anticipated to have a significant impact on the traffic of the study roadways. <br />Exhibit 5 provides the 2040 No -Build turning movement volumes at the study intersections for weekday <br />AM and PM peak hours. <br />4.3 ANTICIPATED TRIP GENERATION <br />Trip generation for the 2014 AUAR was calculated based on the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) <br />Trip Generation Manual9t" Edition. Table 5 provides a summary of the anticipated trips generated by each <br />development scenario included in the 2014 AUAR. These trip estimates are provided for the long-term <br />development plans. <br />TABLE 5: TRIP GENERATION FORECAST (2014 AUAR) <br />Development Scenario <br />Daily <br />AM Peak Hour <br />PM Peak Hour <br />In <br />Out <br />Total <br />In <br />Out <br />Total <br />Minimum Development <br />41,550 <br />2,130 <br />945 <br />3,075 <br />1,630 <br />2,710 <br />4,340 <br />Maximum Development <br />51,140 <br />2,440 <br />1,350 <br />3,790 <br />2,120 <br />3,185 <br />5,305 <br />Updated trip generation forecasts for the proposed development are based on the ITE Trip Generation <br />Manual 11t" Edition. Based on a comparison of Table 5 to Tables 6-8, total network trip generation for the <br />full buildout of TCAAP AUAR study area is anticipated to be slightly lower in the AM and PM peak hours <br />than what was determined in the 2014 AUAR due to the updates to the Trip Generation Manual, despite <br />the land development scenarios remaining unchanged. <br />The trip generation for the Zoning Scenario is shown below in Table 6. The Zoning Scenario is anticipated <br />to generate 38,048 daily trips, including 2,911 in the AM peak hour and 4,041 in the PM peak hour. <br />TCAAP AUAR Update I Traffic Analysis <br />April 2024 <br />