CCP 11-13-1995 - Laserfiche WebLink

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I - . The key results from the analysis are summarized below: ~ Between 44 and 55 percent of the trips using Highway 96 begin and end inside of the smaller - study area defined by 1-35W, County Road J, I-35E, and 1-694. Between 71 and 74 percent of the trips on Highway 96 begin or end in one of the communities bordering Highway 96. I That is almost 75 percent of the traffic on Highway 96 can be considered as local traffic. . Changes in the average travel speed on Highway 96 does have a noticeable impact on travel I demand on Highway 96. An increase in the average travel speed on Highway 96 from 40 miles per hour to 45 miles per hour would increase the 2015 Traffic Demand on the segment I between Rice Street to McMenemy from 21,300 vehicles per day to 28,100 vehicles per day and on the segment between Hamline A venue and Lexington A venue from 31,500 vehicles per day to 35,300 vehicles per day. . Improvements which would increase the operating speed on Interstate 694 between 1-35E I and I-35W would help to reduce travel demand on Highway 96, Increasing the average travel speed on 1-694 from 53 to 55 miles per hour would reduce demand on the segment of I Highway 96 between Rice Street and McMenemy from 21,300 to 19,800 vehicles per day and on the segment between Hamline A venue and Lexington A venue from 31,500 vehicles per day to 3Q,200 vehicles per day, It should also be noted that if the average speeds on I- I 694 between I-35W and I,35E are reduced travel demand will increase on Highway 96. Ie 0 Because 44 to 55 percent of the traffic on Highway 96 either originates or is destined to land uses within the study area bounded by I-35W, County Road J, I-35E, and 1-694 increases in the growth in this area will also increase demand on Highway 96. Table I shows the number of trips on the segments of Highway 96 between Rice Street and McMenemy and between I Hamline and Lexington that originate within the different subareas (traffic analysis zones) along Highway 96. Also on shown on Table I is the percentage of the trips from each I subarea which use each segment. It should be noted that subarea or traffic analysis zone which includes the Twin Cities Army Amunition Plant in Arden Hills has a very low trip generation which is representative of its.current u~e. Ab?llt 2 percent of the trips generated I in this area use the segment of Highway 96 between Rice Street and McMenemy and about 8 percent of the trips generated in this area use the segment of Highway 96 between Hamline and Lexington A venue. Therefore, redevelopment of this site which increases the number I of trips generated on this site could result in significant increases in travel demand on Highway 96. I The 2015 travel demand forecasts shown in Figure 2 are based on specific assumptions regarding study area land use, average speeds and capacities on Highway 96, and average speeds and capacity on other alternative routes. The forecasts also include assumptions' regarding the number of trips I people will make and how many take transit or carpool. As the above analysis illustrates the demand on Highway 96 is sensitive to changes in some of these variables. Given the assumptions made for the forecast there is higher probability that the 2015 travel demand on Highway 96 will be greater I than forecast rather than less than forecast. Ie - 16 ..-"~' ~'.. I ".,