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CCP 06-24-1996
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CCP 06-24-1996
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<br /> . <br /> Summary . <br />The agreement among parties calls for revenue guarantees for a total of 2,080 hours from -. <br />each of five parties. These guarantees provide a threshold revenue level of $1,300,000 <br />annually. Net debt service on the bonds is expected to range from $556,000 to $632,000 <br />annually. Operating expenses are estimated to be $759,000. The result of these assumptions I <br />at the lowest annual debt service cost is as follows: <br /> Operating Revenue $1,300,000 I <br /> less Debt Service (556,000) <br /> Available for Operations $744,000 <br /> less Operating Expenses 759,000 . <br /> Surplus/(Deficit) ($15,000) <br />In addition to covering annual debt service and operating expenses, it is prudent to accumulate . <br />reserves for the payment of debt service and/or operations in the event of a business <br />downturn. Also, reserves for capital replacement must be provided. The operations assumed . <br />herein do not provide for accumulation of reserves. <br />The options for strengthening the cash flow include increasing the hourly charges, increasing <br />the demand for ice time and the hours rented, or further refining the operating budget. . <br />Estimating Annual Exposure e. <br />There are a number of scenarios which present the potential for financial risk to the <br />guarantors. They are on a spectrum of events that range from a lower than anticipated I <br />financial performance for the arena to a closure of the facility for some unforeseen reason. <br />Appendix VII attempts to illustrate the financial exposure at these two ends of the spectrum. <br />Proiect Underoerformance. Project underperformance can be caused by either operating . <br />costs exceeding budget expectations or revenues falling short of anticipated levels. The first <br />section of Appendix VII illustrates assumptions reflective of poor project performance. The first <br />assumption incorporated is that expenses are underestimated by 15%. It should be noted that <br />the budget referenced here exceeds the NSC estimate by over $76,000. The use agreement . <br />calls for MASC to underwrite any overage of actual expenses against budgeted expenses <br />once the board approves a budget. We would assume that if serious deficiencies appear in <br />the budget, MASC and NSC would address them in subsequent years' budgets and that the . <br />MASC guarantee can not be seen as a long-term source of funding for unexpected budget <br />levels. A 15% variance in budgeted expenditures equates to just under $114,000. <br />Revenue underperformance could result from either too high an assumed rental rate or . <br />inability to book the required rental hours. A level of comfort has been expressed that <br />$125/hour will be a standard rental level by fall, 1997, therefore Appendix VII makes <br />assumptions regarding the usage levels assumed for the full 10,400 hours of guaranteed time. I <br />Columbia users and girls' sports assumptions are assumed to vary by up to 15%. This <br />acknowledges that the will be there, but at a lower level than anticipated. Local association ice <br />time is assumed to either be committed through pre-sale or made available to MASC for . <br />expansion of its tournament scheduling during the hockey months. Additional usage of this <br />time could be to supply overflow ice time to associations that were not included in the polling <br />sample. An assumed slippage percentage of 25% is applied to figure skating and 50% to -. <br />open skating, short track speed skating, and camps. No loss has been assigned to MASC <br />tournaments because of a presumed negligible risk of slippage or to indoor soccer or seasonal <br />hockey because of MASC's expressed willingness to contract in advance for those hours. <br />DRAFT REPORT 5/30/96 Page 13 .. <br />--- <br />
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