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Page 2 of 10 <br />person household with an annual income between $79,440 and $104,200. The median home sale <br />price is $465,000 with only a three-month supply on the market — well below the five-to-six <br />months considered healthy. Average rents exceed $1,800/month. Affordability pressures extend <br />beyond lower-income residents: over a third of older households (65+) are now cost-burdened <br />nationally, and many Arden Hills seniors face a "lifecycle housing mismatch" with few options <br />between large single-family homes and expensive senior care facilities. <br />The crisis is both national and local. Home prices have risen 60% nationwide since 2019, and the <br />U.S. homeownership rate fell in 2024 for the first time in eight years — most sharply among <br />households under 35. Two structural forces drive the shortage: decades of underbuilding <br />"missing middle" housing (small-scale homes and small multi-family buildings), and incomes <br />that have not kept pace with construction costs. New tariffs are expected to add roughly $10,900 <br />per new home, and economic uncertainty is suppressing both builder confidence and buyer <br />demand. Locally, Arden Hills is largely built out, institutional land holdings limit developable <br />areas, and limited public transit adds to residents' true cost of living. <br />The following definitions have been used to frame the conversations: Affordable housing means <br />any home, whether rented or owned, costing 30% or less of a household's income. Attainable <br />housing refers to homes/condominiums purchasable by households earning 100–125% of Area <br />Median Income (AMI). Workforce housing serves households at 60–80% AMI. Subsidized and <br />deeply affordable housing targets households at or below 60% and 30% of AMI respectively, <br />often through government programs. Naturally Occurring Affordable Housing (NOAH) describes <br />older, unsubsidized homes that are affordable due to age or condition. Missing middle housing <br />describes duplexes, triplexes, and small apartment buildings compatible with single-family <br />neighborhoods. This type of residential housing has been severely underbuilt since the 1980s. <br />Arden Hills’ home values and rents are higher than surrounding communities, driven in part by <br />institutional land holdings which limit net tax capacity, limited transit options, demand for <br />homes within the Mounds View School District, and constrained supply. One offsetting factor: <br />Arden Hills homeowners pay less in property taxes than owners of similarly valued homes in <br />neighboring cities. The ~1,960 planned units at Rice Creek Commons will help address supply, <br />though the timeline is uncertain. Other first and second ring suburban cities offer proven models: <br />Shoreview, Little Canada, New Brighton, Woodbury, and St. Louis Park have each added <br />hundreds of affordable units through inclusionary policies and density bonuses. Edina's <br />inclusionary housing policy has generated nearly $9 million for affordable housing and Richfield <br />and Bloomington have had similar successes. Further, Minneapolis and St. Paul eliminated <br />single-family-only zoning districts with measurable results that have been demonstrated to be an <br />outlier among similarly sized metropolitan areas. <br />Fortunately, there are many low- to no-cost opportunities and solutions that can be tailored to <br />meet Arden Hills’ unique needs: <br />• Zoning reforms: Allow more units per lot by right, eliminate minimum parking <br />requirements, reduce minimum lot sizes, allow the construction of accessory dwelling <br />units, and adopt a more flexible building code — all largely cost-neutral and likely to <br />increase the city's tax base. <br />• Inclusionary housing policy: Require affordable units in new developments of 20+ units <br />or collect in-lieu fees for a housing trust fund. <br />• Density bonuses: Offer developers additional units in exchange for affordable housing, <br />green space, or sustainable design.