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CCP 08-26-2002
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CCP 08-26-2002
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<br />Demographics Advisory Committee Report <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />respectively. In the past ten years, our School District has seen a rise in the diversity <br />of its student population. Appendix N shows the lO-year trend in this area. <br />Excensus projections indicate that this trend will continue. <br /> <br />12. Ethnic Trends <br />What do trends in birth rates by ethnic group tell us about the change in the future <br />number of students who may need to be served by our public schools? <br />The fertility rate (Minnesota Planning May 2000) for Asian women is almost twice the <br />rate for Caucasian women and for Hispanic women almost three times, according to <br />Minnesota Planning, May 2000. In our School District, we have seen growth in Asian <br />population, from 2,307 in 1990 to 3,746 in 2000, an increase of 62 percent. Hispanic <br />population has also increased by 78 per cent during this period, an increase of 500 <br />people. These families will have an impact in the next ten years as their older children <br />become our secondary students, and their younger children help keep our Kindergarten <br />counts level. <br /> <br />Strategies for Monitoring Demographic Trends and <br />Impacting Enrollment <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />13 . Influencing Enrollment <br />What can our School District do to influence enrollment? <br />In order to be knowledgeable about future trends, the district needs to adopt strategies <br />that will yield accurate projections of student populations. This will result in proper <br />staffing levels, and in the longer term, fully used facilities. This will also give us the <br />opportunity to influence demographic trends in our district (i.e. taking or supporting <br />actions that attract more people or families of child bearing age into our district.) <br /> <br />14. Improved Enrollment Projections <br />How can our School District do to more accurately predict student enrollment? <br />Better projections hinge on two different activities: getting good data and setting up a <br />process that keeps this current, and regularly reviewing the projection process and <br />algorithms that it uses. These can be accomplished with the following: <br /> <br />Develop a system for aggressively tracking and reporting enrollment, housing <br />trends and migration. <br />. School staff must be trained to obtain data on all students' families, and to report <br />it in a timely fashion to the district census office. <br />. Work with the county, city and real estate agents to obtain housing transactions, <br />and then to follow up on these changes. <br />. Develop a regular census strategy so that all homes in the district are contacted on <br />a regular basis. Define areas that may be more likely to have children move in, <br />and monitor them more closely. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Continually update enrollment assumptions and projections. <br />. Work with consultants, such as Excensus to ensure that new trends and <br />information are considered as they become available <br />. Review the data acquisition processes each year to evaluate their effectiveness. <br /> <br />May 1,2002 <br /> <br />11 <br />
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