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<br /> . 2006 PM P Update <br /> I! I X/2007 <br /> Page l <br /> Good Pointc Analvsis <br /> GoodPointe Technology utilized the current pavement condition index (PCI) infl.mnation as well <br /> our historical data of street improvement projects to pcrfi.lIln pavemellt management analysis of <br /> the street system in Arden Hills. The budget analysis is based 011 current wnstruction costs and <br /> tirctors in an inflation rate of~(~/;'. Engineering costs. 200" of the estimated construction cost, <br /> have becn incorporated into the unit costs. It should be noted. however. that the analysis is only <br /> an estimate. and does not include any utility (watermain. sanitary sewer or stonn sewer) <br /> construction costs. easement acquisition costs. or trail/sidewalk construction costs. Also not <br /> included are additional costs that may be incurred !l.lr retaining walls, excessive driveway <br /> replacemcnt. right-of.way reestablishment or other costs fl.)J- arcas that may have extreme <br /> situations such as signiticant grade changes. The reason !I:)r this is that these wsts vary from <br /> project to project and there is no reliable way to estirnate them. <br /> Th~ ma~ntenance slt&te~ used by G~)odP()in~)r this analysis is b:lsed on categorizing the PCI <br /> rat1l1gs mto adeqllate.~'6-1 (0), margmaJ (31..:> _ . and poor (0-30). Streets that arc adequate <br /> rcceive seal coats. marginal streets receive a mill and overlay, and poor streets arc reconstructed. <br /> The type of mill and overlay used in the analysis is a 2"" mill on'!" the entire pavement section. <br /> Streets that have PCI values bordering two categories would be indi\idually evaluated to ensure <br /> . that the most cost-effective maintenance will occur (l.)r the condition ol"the street. ^ city street <br /> map has been included in this repol1 with the existing PC.J ratings color coded to the above <br /> mentioned categories. <br /> Staff askl:d CioodPnintc to evaluate t.he f()l1ovv'liiil t(.Hif budilcl scenarios: <br /> ..... .... <br /> Sccnario I is budget drivcn. designed to project the average pavcment condition if S I million is <br /> spent each year on street improvements fl.)r till' next 20 years. The existing 5-year CIP has been <br /> incorporated into the tirst live years of this model. Over the 20 year JKliod. the average PCI <br /> would increase from ()4 to 77. <br /> Sccnario 2 is designed based on the current average PCI {(14) and project the level of funding <br /> needed to maintain this over the next 20 years. In a budget model that is driven by a benchmark <br /> PCl, predetermined projects cannot he entered. The streets are selected by the program ll:)r <br /> rnaintenance on a needs basis. The results of this scenario indicate that approximately $14.5 <br /> mi II ion wi II need to be budgeted 11:11' pavemcnt management ovcr the !lex t 20 years. <br /> Scenario 3 is based on the desire to increase the average PCI hI 75 and determine thc kvcl of <br /> funding needed to achieve this over the next 20 years. i\ PCl value of 75 is an average <br /> benchmark among several other cities in the metro area. Again. this model does not allow for <br /> predetermined projects. and the program has selected streets on a needs basis. The results orthis <br /> scenario indicate that approximately $16 million will need to he budgeted fl.lr pavement <br /> . managemcnt over the next 20 years. <br />