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<br /> 2006 PMP Update . <br /> 1/18/2007 <br /> Pagc 4 <br /> Scenario 4 shows the dTect of the cxisting 5-year UP on the average PCI values. The results of <br /> this scenario indicate that the avcrage PeI values \\'ould be 65 aJh:r the live year pcriod. an <br /> increase of one point ffom today"s an:ragc PCI. \Vhile this scenario is only a li\'e year model, it <br /> could be cxpected that if this model werc cxtended. results \\"ould be similar to those dcscribcd in <br /> Scenario 2. <br /> The graphs supplementing this rcport compan: the avcrage PCls and budgets Il.)r Scenarios I, 2 <br /> and 3 over the 20 year period. <br /> Staff Qh;-;~r.yations: <br /> · The results indicate that if the City wcre to select a management plan based 011 maintaining a <br /> bcnchmark PCI, thc ditlcrence hctweenlllaintaillin~ thc current PCI of()4 (Scenario 2) and <br /> . .. <br /> increasing the PCI to 75 (Sccnario 3) is only S I,) million o\er a 20 year pcriod. <br /> · The results ofSccnario I and Sccnario.1 arc similar in that at the end oflhc 20 year period <br /> for a ncw average PCI (77 to 75. rcspcctively). In Sccnario I. a consistent amount ofmoncy <br /> is spcnt caeh year (approximately S I rnillion). Howc\cr. in Scenario 3. more moncy would <br /> be spcnt up fwnt, in the first six years. and then spending would level off at a lower annual <br /> amount. In Phase 1 (2006-2011) average spending wuuld he appn)ximatcly S 1.5 million. and <br /> Phase 2 (2012-2025) would decrcasc and level off to just O\W S500.000 per year. . <br /> CONCLlJSION <br /> The scenarios completed by Goodpointc show the relationship het\\een average PCI and funding <br /> levels. Stan' is requesting that thc Council revie\\ the scenarios and discuss how to move fl.)rward <br /> with our pavement managemcnt pwgram. Itcms to consider: <br /> · Docs the Council want to proceed with the current program (Scenario 4) and Icvel of <br /> funding? <br /> · Would the Council I ike to pursue one of the ot her scenarios (Scenario I. 2 or J )'.' <br /> · Would the Councillikc to c\'aluak other hudget scenarios'! <br /> Feedback receivcd at the work session will bc incorporated into our continuing cvaluation and <br /> revisions to the5- Year C I P, and will be presented at a future \\"()rk session, <br /> . <br />