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<br />City of Arden Hills <br />Budget Analysis Report <br />May 04, 2006 <br />Page 2 <br />system ranging from 100 for a newly surfaced pavement to 0 for a failed pavement. <br /> <br />Based on the latest available survey data collected for each section, the average <br />PCI of the Arden Hills pavement network using the PCI resulting from the survey <br />is 67.9. The average PCI can also be calculated by projecting the surveyed <br />condition to today's estimated PCI using the decay curves in ICON. Using these <br />curves, the "current average projected" PCI for the network is a 64. <br /> <br />The results of Scenario 1 indicate that the current level of funding and funding <br />allocation will result in a higher average PCI each year and will decrease the backlog. <br />Over the twenty-year analysis period, the average PCI increases significantly, from 64 to <br />77. <br /> <br />The results of Scenario 2 indicate that a total of approximately $14.5 million will be <br />required over the next twenty years to maintain the City's current average PCI of 64. <br />Due to a significant amount of budget allocated in the first five years, the pavement can <br />be maintained at a lower budget. <br /> <br />The results of Scenario 3 indicate that a total of approximately $16 million will be <br />required over the next twenty years to gradually increase the City's average PCI from a <br />64 to a 75. In comparison to Scenario 2, more budgets are spent in the first 10 years to <br />increase the PCI to a 75. Then the pavement can be maintained at a 75 at a lower <br />budget. <br /> <br />The results of Scenario 4 indicate that the current elP list will maintain an average <br />condition of 65 over the next five years. <br /> <br />It is important to note that these scenarios were generated at the network level and <br />were based on pavement repair and rehabilitation costs that may require additional <br />project-level costs such as curb and gutter replacement, water main replacement, <br />and/or right-of-way restoration. Also included in the cost is a 20% increase for <br />engineering fees. <br />