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2022-04-05 P & Z Packet
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2022-04-05 P & Z Packet
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Project BanjoTraffic StudyMarch 2, 2022 <br />Page 8 <br />TRAFFIC FORECASTS <br />Traffic forecasts were developed for year 2024 conditions, which represents one (1) year after <br />opening. Theforecasts include information regarding area roadway changes, general background <br />growth, and trip generation from the proposed development. <br />Roadway Changes <br />st <br />Fairview Street is plannedto be extended to 21Avenue in 2022. Given the minimal activity along <br />st <br />21Avenueand the redundant Commerce Drive connection, there is not expected to be a noticeable <br />change in area travel patterns once Fairview Street is completed (assuming no other development). <br />st <br />Localized rerouting of existing traffic was completed to reflect this new roadway connection. 21 <br />Avenue has also been identified to be extended to connect with Cedar Street. However, for purposes <br />of this study, the extension was not assumed to be completed prior to 2024. Further discussion <br />st <br />regarding the possible extension of 21Avenue is provided later in this report. <br />Background Growth <br />To account for general background growth in the study area, an annual growth rate of 1.5 percent was <br />applied to the existing traffic volumes to develop year 2024 background traffic forecasts. This growth <br />rate is based on a combination of historical average daily traffic (ADT) volumes published by MnDOT <br />and traffic forecasts identified within the Anoka County Transportation Plan. <br />Trip Generation <br />Given the proposed land use, the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) does not have a sufficient <br />amount of comparable data. Therefore, trip generation data for the proposed development provided <br />by the project teamwas used. The data provided reflects the operational characteristics of the site, <br />including employee vehicles, trucks, and van activity. <br />As noted earlier,peak activity of the site is expected to occur between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m., with <br />limited activity during traditional a.m. and p.m. peak hours which are 7:15 to 8:15 a.m. and 4:30 to 5:30 <br />p.m., respectively. Table 4provide a summary of the existinga.m., midday (i.e., facility), and p.m. peak <br />hour trip generation for the site, in addition to daily activity. The proposed developmentis expected to <br />generate 10 a.m. peak hourtrips, 430 midday peak hourtrips, 120 p.m. peak hourtrips, and 1,935 <br />daily trips. A detailed breakdown of the expected trip generation by time of day and vehicletypeis <br />provided in the Appendix. <br />Table 4 Trip Generation Summary <br />Peak Hour Scenario <br />Vehicle <br />Land Use AMMiddayPMDaily <br />Type <br />InOutInOutInOut <br />Vehicles4 4 2090 59591,200 <br />141,000 SF Warehouse / <br />Trucks1 1 1 1 1 1 45 <br />Logistics Hub <br />Vans0 0 0 2190 0 690 <br />Total Site Trips 5 5 21022060601,935 <br /> <br />
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