2022-04-05 P & Z Packet - Laserfiche WebLink

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Project BanjoTraffic StudyMarch 2, 2022 Page 8 TRAFFIC FORECASTS Traffic forecasts were developed for year 2024 conditions, which represents one (1) year after opening. Theforecasts include information regarding area roadway changes, general background growth, and trip generation from the proposed development. Roadway Changes st Fairview Street is plannedto be extended to 21Avenue in 2022. Given the minimal activity along st 21Avenueand the redundant Commerce Drive connection, there is not expected to be a noticeable change in area travel patterns once Fairview Street is completed (assuming no other development). st Localized rerouting of existing traffic was completed to reflect this new roadway connection. 21 Avenue has also been identified to be extended to connect with Cedar Street. However, for purposes of this study, the extension was not assumed to be completed prior to 2024. Further discussion st regarding the possible extension of 21Avenue is provided later in this report. Background Growth To account for general background growth in the study area, an annual growth rate of 1.5 percent was applied to the existing traffic volumes to develop year 2024 background traffic forecasts. This growth rate is based on a combination of historical average daily traffic (ADT) volumes published by MnDOT and traffic forecasts identified within the Anoka County Transportation Plan. Trip Generation Given the proposed land use, the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) does not have a sufficient amount of comparable data. Therefore, trip generation data for the proposed development provided by the project teamwas used. The data provided reflects the operational characteristics of the site, including employee vehicles, trucks, and van activity. As noted earlier,peak activity of the site is expected to occur between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m., with limited activity during traditional a.m. and p.m. peak hours which are 7:15 to 8:15 a.m. and 4:30 to 5:30 p.m., respectively. Table 4provide a summary of the existinga.m., midday (i.e., facility), and p.m. peak hour trip generation for the site, in addition to daily activity. The proposed developmentis expected to generate 10 a.m. peak hourtrips, 430 midday peak hourtrips, 120 p.m. peak hourtrips, and 1,935 daily trips. A detailed breakdown of the expected trip generation by time of day and vehicletypeis provided in the Appendix. Table 4 Trip Generation Summary Peak Hour Scenario Vehicle Land Use AMMiddayPMDaily Type InOutInOutInOut Vehicles4 4 2090 59591,200 141,000 SF Warehouse / Trucks1 1 1 1 1 1 45 Logistics Hub Vans0 0 0 2190 0 690 Total Site Trips 5 5 21022060601,935