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Proposed Cost of Growth Study The Metropolitan Council's approach for determining development costs in the region is to conduct detailed studies of a number of cities and school districts that are at different stages of the development process. The analysis will examine the fiscal impact of development for two growth scenarios continued regional trends and the Council's growth strategy—and for a number of land use patterns. The .case studies for each community will be used to determine the marginal costs of providing services for expected growth or redevelopment in'the community. These results will then be used to develop a larger fiscal impact model for the region. A 60nsultant will be hired to conduct in-depth interviews,gather local data, prepare a level of service paper and build the fiscal impact model. Council staff will provide regional data an the forecasts and growth scenarios, as well as help the consultant with land use pattern assumptions and similar information. A liaison group, described below, will be a reaction group throughout the process, helping to shape the assumptions and direction of the work and to review the results of the final report. Organizational Phase; Establish liaison group. Create a liaison group of organizations most likely to be affected by the results of the study to help Council staff and consultant with study design and to critique results along the way. This group would have local officials,an association of Motropo litan Municipalities representative, county officials,representatives from school districts, special interest representatives, builders/developers and members from the Council's"Cost of Growth"'study group that is already meeting with Council staff. Members of this study group include University of Minnesota faculty,Minnesota Department of Agriculture staff,Minnesotans for an Energy Efficient Economy staff,the Builders Association, the Land Stewardship project, and the Legislative Commission on Minnesota Resources. Initial meeting will include review of the lessons learned from recent local studies-on the cost of growth. inn up_communities. The case study communities are going to be required to provide some time and resources for this study and therefore must agree in advance to work with the consultant. The incentive for them to participate is that they will have an individual fiscal analysis done for their community. At this step, eight communities(tiro central cities, two fully developed cities,two maturing suburbs and.two, developing suburbs)and two school districts must be signed up to participate in the study. Case Study Design:- Develpp basic assumptions(Council staff with help from consultant. . The study will look at two scenarios✓--current trends and the Council's adopted Regional Growth Strategy. The Council staff has community-level population, household and employment forecasts for these-two scenarios, but various land use categories(residential and bommercialf industrial)must be determined for each of the selected communities and.schoo I_dlistricts. F inally, nonfiscal impacts(such as pollution,housing affordahil ity, crime, Qtc.)will be studied by the Counci l staff aloog with the fiscal impact analysis done by the consultant. The list of nonf iscal impacts to be studied will be developed in this step. Allocate foreca-stsrrto case study communifies. Council staff'will allocate forecasts to each land use type . under both scenarios for the sample communities and school districts. Population and household. forecasts-gift be allocated to residential land-use categories,and employment forecasts Will bd aillocated to commercialf industrial categgries. Case study participants will be asked to confirm that the allocations are reasonable,at least for the purpose of the study. -•m