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2012_0319_Packet
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2012_0319_Packet
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4/6/2012 3:25:52 PM
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A GUIDE TO RETAIL IMPACT STUDIES <br />present measurable leakage to other communities. Communities with strong tourism sectors or <br />particularly appealing retail offerings or districts will demonstrate surplus sales in selected <br />categories and deficits in others. The addition of a strong and appealing large format retailer <br />will not reverse all leakage, as the lure of the big city or the novel retailer will always remain. <br />For most communities, strategies to reduce leakage must be balanced with a concern for <br />maintaining the strength of those retail segments generating a surplus. <br />A Note on Data Sources <br />Retail sales data can be procured from three general sources, presented in ascending order of <br />preference: <br />Public records may be reviewed for a broad snapshot of retail activity in a given municipality. <br />Federal and state data sources tend to be reliable in large jurisdictions where suppression is <br />unnecessary. However, these datasets are typically updated infrequently and are subject to <br />suppression often enough to yield only the broadest analyses. They should not be utilized for <br />anything more substantial than preliminary reviews for discussion. <br />Local government officials may be willing to provide actual sales records for a given <br />municipality. In a small market, the analyst can then conduct a survey of goods offered at <br />existing retailers and allocate sales to specific lines of goods. While this is clearly the most <br />accurate method for identifying current retail sales, it presents challenges. First, in all but the <br />smallest communities, it may be prohibitively time-consuming to visit every retailer and identify <br />the range of goods offered. Second, confidentiality requirements may make reporting quite <br />difficult because the analysts themselves will be required to suppress any detailed data that <br />might reveal sales of a particular business. <br />Private, proprietary data providers are the more common source of retail sales numbers for any <br />jurisdiction. In many ways, these datasets are preferred because they provide the analyst with <br />the most detailed and current information available. Using proprietary algorithms and/or rolling <br />surveys, these frequently updated datasets fill in the gaps created by data suppression. <br />Moreover, relying on a private data provider frees the analyst from the confidentiality constraints <br />associated with the use of actual sales tax records. The amount of detail reported will be limited <br />by professional courtesy and client sensitivities rather than strict and legally binding <br />agreements. Moreover, the software associated with these data providers allows a highly <br />customized analysis according to a wide variety of geographic or economic parameters. <br />Claritas and ESRI are two of the leading providers, and both are widely accepted sources <br />among retailers, market analysts, and economic development practitioners. <br />Quantifying Retail Employment and Wages in the Region <br />The analyst then needs to quantify retail employment and wages in the market area. One <br />source for this data is the U.S. Census Bureau's Economic Census.This census is conducted <br />every five years and typically there is further delay before publication. This results in outdated <br />datasets for most analyses. However, adjusting these values for inflation in the time since the <br />13 <br /> <br />
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