1A.1, TCAAP Market Analysis and Comprehensive Plan Discussion

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Both the 2030 Comprehensive Plan and the zoning regulations contemplated a 585-acre TCAAP site that included 460 acres for development, right of way, parks and open space, and stormwater management; 49 acres for a wildlife corridor; and 76.5 acres for the Primer-Tracer area. Ramsey County's acquisition of the TCAAP property includes only 427 acres, all of which are anticipated for development, right of way, parks and open space, and storm water management. The County will separately acquire 30.5 acres(of the original 460 acres of developable land)to use as a north-south trail corridor, as well as 49 acres for the wildlife corridor (Attachment A). The 76.5-acre Primer-Tracer area is anticipated to be reabsorbed into AHATS. Ramsey County has contracted with Maxfield Research to complete a Market Potential Analysis for the 427-acre TCAAP site. The analysis is not yet complete;however,Maxfield has prepared a draft with preliminary findings. The market analysis is a snapshot in time that reflects the possible market potential for development on TCAAP over a 5-year time period. The County intends to update the study in 2 years, and then update it annually after that. It is likely that the numbers suggested in the market analysis will change over time. 2030 Comprehensive Plan Review When the 2030 Comprehensive Plan was adopted in 2008,the City had not yet approved a master plan for the TCAAP site. In lieu of a detailed master plan,that City adopted a vision for the future use of the TCAAP site based on previous planning efforts,but with less detail than a typical master plan. The future land use designations were generally split down the center of the property with Mixed Business identified for the west side of the site, and Mixed Residential identified for the east side. It was anticipated that once a TCAAP master plan was adopted by the City that the 2030 Comprehensive Plan would need to be amended. The Comprehensive Plan specifically states that"Upon selection of a land use plan, this Comprehensive Plan will be amended to reflect the approved land use designations in TCAAP". The future land use map includes just two land uses,Mixed Business and Mixed Residential. The 2030 Comprehensive Plan anticipated that there would also be institutional uses, parks, wetlands, and roads on the property; however, their exact locations and acreage had not been determined. The most recent unapproved concept plan for TCAAP included the following land uses: City of Arden Hills City Council Meeting for January 28, 2013 P:IPlanninglCity Council Memos12013WI-28-13-TCAAP Market Study Discussion-Memo.docx Page 2 of 8