2008-02-13 CC Packet - Laserfiche WebLink

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developed with varying densities assigned to the remaining vacant land in the City and a final "build-out" population was calculated. A preferred land use alternative that met all other City goals and resulted in a sustainable population over 5,000 was identified by the Planning Commission and City Council, and reviewed by the public at an open house in December of 2007. Forecasts The plan results in an increase in the number of households for Centerville compared with the forecasts provided by the Metropolitan Council in the System Statement for Centervi 11e. The System Statement forecasts are presented below in Table I: Table 1: Met Council System Statement Forecasts Re,-isf'd Develonmeut Framf"wol'k 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Pooulation 1,633 3,202 3,700 4,100 4,700 Households 519 1,077 1,340 1,600 1,850 EmnlOVIll"llt 861 359 520 630 670 To estimate build-out population, the number of new units that could be built on the remaining vacant land given the planned densities was first calculated. Given the City's preferred densities for remaining land, 1,110 new units could be constructed. The City currently has] ,352 units, the vast majority of which are inside the sewered area. This results in a total of 2,455 households by 2030 under the preferred land use alternative. Using the household size estimate given by the Metropolitan Council in Table I, the 2030 population is estimated at 6,236. These estimates arc show in Table 2. Tabl 2 C e : entervl e ouse 0 , opu atlO n and Emplovment PrOlectlOns ....~................. ...................t!)1 >.' ........ ....'......1.:;1 ........... .... .....', .. .......... ciJa"'20to ".i~~.'.'.: .. /20110 " ^'.",:'H .)." ."-'~ :?_::~i':A<_--,_ ..' ....,. .~1()~' :)020..' '.'..2030......... . .....20~Q:.:. Total Population Swera:l N'A N'A 3,712 4,864 6,236 2,524 lliBNa"a::t N'A N'A 19 - - -19 HoU9!hold S2I!" 2,97 2,76 2.56 2,54 -022 Total HoU9!holds Swera:l N'A N'A 1,345 1,900 2,455 1,110 lliBNa"a::t N'A N'A 7 - - -7 Total Employment Swera:l N'A N'A 750 1,671 1,671 921 lliBNa"a::t N'A N'A - - - C "11 H hid PI' . from Mi< Cl:llniJ ,.,termtatE!l"el"i forea<! .'*l'n..s3lJlds~asadLBI Lrit COLI1t in..eruaryz:x::E Also notice that the employment figures for Centerville are significantly larger than the System Statement figures, The 2010 figure is based on the current supply of commercial and industrial land in Centcrville. This estimate uses the assumption that there are 9 employees per gross acre of commercial or industrial land. Much of the additional commercial development is planned for the cast side of the City, near the interchange with 1-35. Ccnterville is aware the significant commercial development may occur in Lino Lakcs between the interchange and Centerville and -54-