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<br />Appendix B, continued <br /> <br />feet. According to the city, recent office/showroom developments have generally fallen into this range. The <br />subarea equaling Parcels 18-19 was assumed as office only rather than a mix of office and showroom because <br />the building footprint would be less than 40,000 square feet. <br /> <br />Site generated trips were distributed to/from the project site based on a directional distribution from the City <br />of Roseville Traffic Model. The distribution is illustrated in Figure B7. The model-based distribution is <br />similar to the distribution found in the Centre Pointe Traffic Impact Study in tenns of the percent of trips <br />traveling North, South, East and West. However, because of the proximity of the Twin Lakes Project Area <br />to Snelling Avenue and the different land use mixes of the sites, a larger number of trips traveling North- <br />South were drawn to Snelling Avenue instead of I-35W and Cleveland Ave. <br /> <br />In order to assign generated traffic to the roadway network, each (re)development subarea was assumed to <br />have one access point to/from the adjacent roadway with the lowest functional class. For example, the <br />subarea comprised of Parcels 1 - 3 is adjacent to Cleveland A venue and Mount Ridge Road. The subarea was <br />assumed to have access to Mount Ridge Road instead of Cleveland Avenue because Mount Ridge Road is <br />a collector while Cleveland Avenue is an A minor arterial. Except for the subareas consisting of Parcels 18- <br />19 and 22-24 which require access to Fairview Avenue, all of the parcels have access to either Mount Ridge <br />Road, Twin Lakes Parkway, or Herschel Street. This access pattern is consistent with that found in the Twin <br />Lakes Business Park Comprehensive Plan Amendment. It should be noted that the redevelopment and access <br />pattern described is only a hypothetical scenario based on the best infonnation currently available. The actual <br />redevelopment and access pattern will be detennined by future market forces. <br /> <br />Figure B8 displays the site generated PM peak hour turning movements at each of the study area <br />intersections. The site generated turning movements were added to the 2011 background PM peak hour <br />movements in order to come up with the Design Year 2011 post-development forecast found on Figure B9. <br />Site generated ADT was added to 2011 background ADT in order to come up with a Design Year 2011 post- <br />development ADT forecast. The post development ADT forecast and the daily site generated component <br />can be found on Figure B 1 O. <br /> <br />In some cases, the Design Year 2011 post-development turning movement forecasts for the Twin Lakes <br />Project Area are less than the Centre Pointe post-development forecasts for Year 2001. This is indicative of <br />the discrepancy between the model's forecasted annual growth in trips of 1 % and the historical growth in trips <br />in the area of 2%. For the Centre Pointe Traffic Impact Study, the 2% growth rate was used to forecast <br />turning movements out to Year 2001. For the Twin Lakes Traffic Impact Study, a 1 % growth rate was <br />indirectly utilized via the City's traffic model to forecast turning movements out to Year 2011 from a Base <br />Year of 1990. This is because the Year 2011 daily model forecasts were used to develop Year 2011 turning <br />movement forecasts. However, this discrepancy in growth rates does not invalidate either of the forecasts. <br />Instead, what it implies is that in the near future, growth in traffic in and around Centre Pointe and Twin <br />Lakes will proceed at a rate of approximately 2% per year. Then the annual rate is expected to decrease over <br />time as the project areas and Roseville as a whole becomes fully developed. By Year 2011, the growth rate <br />could fall to 0.5% or less. The fact that some of the Twin Lakes PM peak hour movements are forecasted <br />to be slightly less than those for Centre Pointe in Year 2001 (versus slightly higher) most likely occurs as the <br />result of the variability of the actual PM peak percentage of daily traffic and what was assumed in Year 2011. <br /> <br />CAPACITY ANALYSIS <br /> <br />A capacity analysis is an established method for detennining the quality of traffic flow through an intersection <br />or along a roadway segment. Basic outputs from a capacity analysis are letter grades "A" through "F" (similar <br /> <br />*24397 <br /> <br />59 <br />