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Fiscallmpacf Analysis of Five Growth Scenarios Calvert County, Maryland Average Annual Projected Housing Unit Increases by SCenario Calvert County, Maryland 1998--2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 Net Increase SCenario Avg. Ann. Inc. Avg.Ann.lnc. Avg. Ann. Ine. Avg. Ann. Inc. 1998-2020 Current Trends 651 934 1,022 1,042 19,548 Hign Economic Development 651 934 1,022 1,042 19,548 Constrained Growth 454 447 441 349 9,365 Slowed Growtn One 650 661 670 680 14,606 Slowed Growth Two 650 661 670 680 14,606 . Average Annual Increases are yearty totalS. Net increases are the sum of average 8MuaI mu . . the number of vears in the time Deriod. The current estimate of 25,112 housing units in Calvert County is projected to increase by 19,548 units, or 78%, under the Current Trends and High Economic Development scenarios. On an average annual basis, housing units increase at faster rates later in the analysis time period (i.e. 651 annually from 1998 to 2005 and 1,042 annually during the 2015 to 2020 period). Housing unit growth under Constrained Growth is projected to increase by 9,365 units, or 37%. On an annual average basis, housing unit growth slows gradually, from an average annual rate of 454 from 1998 to 2005 to a slower rate of 349 annually during the 2015 to 2020 period. Housing unit growth under the two Slowed Growth scenarios is projected to increase by 14,606 units, or 58%. On an average annual basis, housing unit growth increases slightly during each time period, from 650 annually in the beginning period to 680 annually at the end. This is a result of the decreasing household size assumed throughout the analysis period. 3. Nonresidential Square Footage . The current nonresidential square footage is estimated at 3.1 million in Calvert County. Of this amount, 1.4 million square feet is estimated for retail, 472,000 square feet is estimated for office, and 1.2 million square feet is estimated for industriaVflex. The table below contains detailed information pertaining to '"net nonresidential square footage increases and average annual inaeases. 13 Tischler & Associates, Inc.